A LOOK AT 2021 HOUSING AND WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2022

Unless you’ve been living under a rock the past two years, you’ve no doubt heard that home values climbed their assent into the stratosphere.

Stratosphere

But as local agents for over 25 years, even we have a hard time wrapping our heads around the staggering numbers.

You may have also heard that there’s “no inventory”. Well, that’s not exactly true.

Then what’s causing the spike in prices? High demand, not lack of supply—unlike the overall economy that’s suffering from a lack of supply and high demand.

Comparing the annual number for 2020 to 2021, we’ll start with the inventory of homes for sale.

The number of new listings that came on the market in 2020 was 234 in 2020 and 249 in 2021 which is an increase of 6.4% more homes available for sale in 2021. Then why is everyone talking about low inventory? Because sales went from 183 units in 2020 to 254 in 2021—a whopping 38% increase—so there are no homes left to buy.

One might ponder, “How can that be?” If you only have an increase of 6.4% in new listings, how can you have 38% more sales. The answer is everything is selling in 2021 while in 2020 some of those new listings never made it into escrow.

That’s evident in the days on market, which dropped 45%, from 20 days to only 11, and the percent a seller received over the asking price climbed from 105% in 2020 to 114% in 2021. 

Another indicator of the scant number of homes available at any given moment is the “Months of Inventory” statistic, that measures how long it would take to sell all of the available inventory at the current rate of sales. That dropped from a meager .4 months, to an almost immeasurable .1 month, (overall, the U.S. stands at around six months of inventory at any given time).

What effect did this have on home values? Nothing, but it had a lot to do with home prices. They hit their highest level in history recording a median home price of $2,245,000 up from $1,888,000—a 19% increase YOY and a 28% increase in the past two years—while the size of homes selling in the last two periods stayed statistically similar at 1,968 and 1,962 square feet respectively. 

This is an article we did back in 2018 on the supposed crest of interest rate hikes.

There is some cooling off of the astronomical climb in prices as noted by the Case-Shiller study for the Bay Area’s metropolitan area, but that may not reflect our local hot spot trends in the mid-peninsula.

What to Watch Out For

Rising Interest Rates

Rising interest rates may give buyers some relief from a super-heated market, may also serve to quell their purchasing power while softening prices. The irony is just when buyers may be able to compete in the market, even if they were to pay less for a home, they’ll end up paying more in interest in their loans.

Drew & Christine Morgan are REALTORS/NOTARY PUBLIC in Belmont, CA. with more than 25 years of experience in helping sellers and buyers in their community. As Diamond recipients, Drew and Christine are ranked in the top 50 RE/MAX agents nationwide and the top 3 in Northern California.  They may be reached at (650) 508.1441 or emailed at info@morganhomes.com.

For all you need to know about Belmont, subscribe to this blog right here. You can also follow us on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/Morganhomesand on Twitter @ https://twitter.com/morganhomes

The information contained in this article is educational and intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute real estate, tax, insurance or legal advice, nor does it substitute for advice specific to your situation. Always consult an appropriate professional familiar with your scenario.

BELMONT HOME VALUES CONTINUE THEIR ASCENT AS SALES DECLINED

It wasn’t just Sir Richard Branson and Jeff Bezos that have shepherded in a new era. Belmont single family homes values have continued their pandemic born steep ascent.

First, the numbers:

Belmont home values continued their astronomical ascent as sales declined in September of 2021. Belmont sales of single family homes fell 9.6% from September of 2020 to the same period in 2021. Compared to September of 2019, pre-pandemic, sales were up this year more than 53% in 2021.

The average time it took to sell a home went down from 19 days to 12.

The Months of Inventory—the time it would take to sell all the homes on the market at the current rate of sales—went from .8 months down to .5, and the available inventory of homes to choose from went from 21 in 2020, to only 11 in 2021. To put this into perspective, the U.S. housing inventory sits at 6.1 months.

The median home price rose from $1,925,000 to $2,235,000, close to a 12% increase YOY. It’s important to note that the size of homes selling in these two periods went down, from 2,150 ft² to 1,737 ft², a 19% decrease, which serves to only magnify the cost to the consumer. 

The price per ft² in 2020 was $979 and increased to $1,299 in 2021. It’s typical for the price per square foot to go up when smaller homes are selling, since it does not take into consideration the lot which the homes sit upon.

What is noteworthy is while the size of homes selling in these two periods went down 19%, prices went up 12%—illustrating that for 12% more in 2021, one could only get a 19% smaller home.

The percentage sellers received also went up from 101% of the asking price in 2020 to 112% in 2021, underscoring the strong demand.

Due to the increase in home values, the cost of home ownership, while borrowing money at 3% interest, went up $1,000 per month in just the last year. If interest rates were to rise to just 4%, the median price home in Belmont would cost ~ additional $1,000 per month.  

According to Mike Farrell of Wells Fargo, a person wishing to buy the median priced Belmont home with 20% down in 2020 needed to earn ~$225,0000 a year, while in 2021 that rose to $300,000 per year. That’s assuming the borrower has no other debt, such as credit card, car payments or school loans.

For buyers with stock options, puting a larger down payment may be an option to increase their buying power without worrying about needing more income to qualify for a mortgage. But for buyers with traditional salaries—essential workers from Teachers, Police, Firefighters, and hospital workers to grocery store employees, and restaurant workers who, without help from outside wealthy family members, will have little hope of ever buying into the dream of home ownership in the Bay Area.

Unfortunately, we see the same story playing out in San Mateo County as a whole.

The most important take-aways from these numbers are the median home price, which jumped 6% YOY, while the size of homes selling were 2% smaller, and the percentage the seller received of their asking price jumped 6 percentage points from 102% of asking to 108%.

As a direct result of the pandemic, many apartment renters, and condominium owners, found to work from home—and in many cases home school children, they needed more space. Since public gatherings were off the table—they wanted a yard as well as no common areas such as elevators. This created a glut of condominiums on the market.

It goes without saying, that we are in unchartered waters in terms of housing demand. Looking at this data from Case-Shiller®️, as compiled by FRED®, which covers the San Francisco MSA (Metropolitan Statistical Area) comprised of five of the nine Bay Area Counties, one can see the dramatic spike in home values beginning in 2020.

If you have considered selling your home and would like to maximize the proceeds from your sale, please contact us for a no obligation assessment.

Drew & Christine Morgan are REALTORS/NOTARY PUBLIC in Belmont, CA. with more than 25 years of experience in helping sellers and buyers in their community. As Diamond recipients, Drew and Christine are ranked in the top 50 RE/MAX agents nationwide and the top 3 in Northern California.  They may be reached at (650) 508.1441 or emailed at info@morganhomes.com.

For all you need to know about Belmont, subscribe to this blog right here. You can also follow us on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/Morganhomes and on Twitter @ https://twitter.com/morganhomes

The information contained in this article is educational and intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute real estate, tax, insurance, or legal advice, nor does it substitute for advice specific to your situation. Always consult an appropriate professional familiar with your scenario.

Belmont Home Sales Suffer From A Stall

Belmont home sales this June suffered from the stall we predicted in this post back in May.

Comparing Belmont July of 2015 sales statistics to July of this year, they might look rather benign, but when you look a little deeper, you can see indications of what could be a slowing trend.

There were only two more listing this year than last, and even with seven more home sales in 2016 the inventory of unsold homes doubled. So did the months of inventory–rising from a minuscule .3 of a month to a mere .7—(still a ridiculously low number considering the U.S. housing inventory level hovers around six months). [CLICK THE IMAGE TO ENLARGE]

YOY June 2015-2016

While the $129,000 median drop in home prices might seem shocking at first glance, it’s mitigated to some degree since smaller homes sold this year. In fact, if we factor in the difference in the size of the homes in the two periods we come up with an almost identical median price year-over-year of $1,633,000.

We also see the price per square foot dropping from $906 to $824—and larger homes sold last year. Why is that important? Because larger homes statistically sell for less per square foot, since the land upon which they sit is not in the equation, yet can account for 50% or more of a home’s value.

And there’s the smoking gun—home prices did not go up in Belmont this June as compared to last. Not only that, but sellers received only 106% of their asking price compared to 119% in June of 2015. [CLICK THE IMAGE TO ENLARGE]

BELMONT jUNE 2016

Is it the unknown of Brexit? That served only to help lower mortgage payments—in theory giving buyers more buying power. It is an election year? This one is tumultuous. Whenever there’s an unknown in the air buyers tend to pull back, sit on the fence and wait it out—it’s human nature.

It could also simply be that we’ve hit a price threshold that the average buyer can no longer afford, or any combination of the above (or more). In any case, it was bound to happen at some point. The question is, have we hit that point?

Disclaimer:

Drew & Christine Morgan are REALTORS/NOTARY PUBLIC in Belmont, CA. with more than 20 years experience in helping sellers and buyers in their community. They may be reached at (650) 508.1441. 

The information contained in this article is educational and intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute real estate, tax or legal advice, nor does it substitute for advice specific to your situation. Always consult an appropriate professional familiar with your scenario.

Drew & Christine Morgan did not necessarily participate in these sales

 

 

 

 

 

Best of Tour 2.10.2015

BEST OF TOUR

Not to be confused with the Board of REALTORS “Best of Tour” award whereby agents try and coax or pressure their colleagues into signing a petition proclaiming their home the “Best of Tour”, our’s is based upon our personal impression after seeing all of the homes on tour and reporting back to you.

Today’s Best of Tour there were three stand outs:

Belmont:

Belmont’s inventory is still low but this one perked us up. A home on Belmont’s west side under $1,000,000? Ready to move in, this home is great for a first-time buyer tired of renting.

2014 Monroe Avenue , Belmont 94002   Status:  Active  Monroe

County:                San Mateo

Area:     362 – Belmont Country Club Etc. List Price:             $899,000

Beds:     2

Baths (F/P):        1

Apprx.Sqft:         1,150 SqFt (Tax)

Apprx Lot:           4,000 SqFt (Tax)

 

San Mateo:

904 Murphy Drive, San Mateo 94402       Status:  Active      Murphy Drive

County:                San Mateo                          Price:     $2,488,000           List:        02/06/2015

Class:     Res. Single Family

Beds:     5

Baths (F/P):        4 (3/1)

Apprx. Sqft:        3,910 SqFt

Apprx Lot:           11,970 SqFt

This home underscores why looks can be deceiving. From the outside it looks like just another track home but once inside it is anything but ordinary. From the open floor plan and expansive rooms to the wonderful rear yard. Truly a great find!

If that one is above your comfort zone there’s a home on the water in San Mateo which has been recently upgraded. Best part—you can water ski right from your back yard.

1765 Lake Street , San Mateo 94403         Status:  Active            Lake

County:                San Mateo          Orig Price:           $1,288,000           Original:               02/05/2015

Area:     413 – Parkside    List Price:             $1,288,000 MLS #:            ML81449598

Beds:     4

Baths (F/P):        3

Apprx.Sqft:         1,960 SqFt (Tax)

Apprx Lot:           8,280 SqFt (Tax)

 

Drew & Christine Morgan are REALTORS/NOTARY PUBLIC in Belmont, CA. with more than 20 years experience in helping sellers and buyers in their community. They may be reached at (650) 508.1441 or emailed at info@morganhomes.com.

You can find them on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/Morganhomes and also find them on Twitter @ https://twitter.com/morganhomes

The information contained in this article is educational and intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute real estate, tax or legal advice, nor does it substitute for advice specific to your situation. Always consult an appropriate professional familiar with your scenario.

Belmont Home Values–Are They Sustainable in 2014?

Belmont Home Values for 2013–A Market Re-Cap

This year-end summary is where we bring you the re-cap for Belmont Home Sales. To say the least, Belmont sellers had a good year. After watching their home values drop for five years in a row (until 2011), they finally enjoyed some relief in 2012 and in 2013 as Belmont home prices reached a new high never seen before.

Here’s how it all stacked up.

This graph shows the median price in Belmont from 2012 through 2013. Many postulate about whether the market has returned to its previous high. To answer that, we looked at the median home trend in Belmont going back to 1998. Belmont’s median home price was over the million dollar mark for every month last year—save March. The closest we came to that was back in 2007 when we hit a period over the million dollar mark only twice. In many areas of the east bay and the country as a whole, they are still shy of the highs seen in 2006.

Belmont Median Price Trend 1012-2013

MEDIAN HOME PRICE

The median home price in Belmont last year, as reported by the Multiple Listing Service [MLS] in aggregate form, was up 19.5% from $949,230 in 2012 to $1,133,917 in 2013.  But not all areas fared the same.

 

 

 

 

 

 

This map show which areas of Belmont increased more year-over-year than others. If this seems odd to you, read the post we did on Which City is More Affordable—Belmont or San Carlos where we discuss some of the idiosyncrasies that have an effect on micro-regional values.

Belmont 2013 areas median Adjusted

 

If you’re like us and you are wondering why some areas of Belmont saw so much more appreciation than others, we took another step and looked into the size of homes selling in the respective areas during the two periods to see if that could account for the variance.

The red percent displayed on the map is the raw median price reported by the MLS and the blue percent is an adjusted percentage taking into consideration that either smaller or larger homes sold in the two periods.

These are our findings:

 

Areas

2012

2013

Variance

Raw Increase

Adjusted
Hallmark

2150

2280

6%

30%

24%
Skymont

2020

1830

-9%

20%

29%
Belmont CC

1840

1870

2%

15%

13%
Carlmont

1800

2029

13%

40%

27%
Sterling Downs

1190

1220

3%

27%

24%

 

This of course would indicate a raw median home price in Belmont of 26% and an adjusted one of 23.5%–much closer to the numbers reported in aggregate form from the MLS.

INVENTORY

The big brouhaha last year was over the lack of inventory. There were only seven fewer homes listed for sale in 2013 but 23 more sales than in 2012. Of course, this created fewer homes for buyers to choose from, which then led to bidding competition and prices going up at exponential rates.

DOM (Days on the Market)

The time it took to sell a home in Belmont last year almost dropped in half from 2012—from 37 to only 21 days.

PERCENT RECEIVED OF ASKING

The “Sizzle Factor”, or “How Hot Is the Market?” reached a new high with the average Belmont home seller receiving 108% of their asking price compared to 102% in 2012.

What can we expect in 2013? Probably more of the same. The median home price rate of appreciation should slow, as many homes which were under market value have regained much of their lost appreciation. We’d take a guess that appreciation will be closer to 14%-16% on average for Belmont—down about 5% from what we will imagine was the height of appreciation increases in 2013—we’ll see.

The factors to watch which could alter this trend will be the waning bond purchases by the FED which will serve to raise interest rates and may take away the ability for buyers to bid so much over the asking price in the latter part of 2014.

This begs the initial question of are these homes values sustainable and the answer is that depends. If the economy continues to improve and the rate of appreciation slows, than the short answer is yes—for now. But recent developments in China’s economy could have an impact on the rate of future appreciation and the U.S. economic rebound. Remember, what started the whole Bay Area recovery was jobs. If that changes, the game we know today could be over very soon.

 

Disclaimer:

Drew & Christine Morgan are REALTORS/NOTARY PUBLIC in Belmont, CA. with more than 20 years experience in helping sellers and buyers in their community. They may be reached at (650) 508.1441 or emailed at info@morganhomes.com.

The information contained in this article is educational and intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute real estate, tax or legal advice, nor does it substitute for advice specific to your situation. Always consult an appropriate professional familiar with your scenario.

 

Shiny Penny Tour Day for the Best Bay Area Deals 5.14.2013

You know the market is heating up when agents actually start to list homes at the insane prices some buyers have been paying. We’re not in the business of trash talking overpriced listings but suffice to say there were a lot today—both in Belmont and San Carlos.

But as you probably know we’re here after the Tuesday broker tour to bring you the Best Bay Area Deals, the “Shiny Penney”—the one home that stood out above the rest.

Where we bring you the best of tour each Tuesday.
Where we bring you the best of tour each Tuesday.

 

 

Today we broke with tradition and found two homes of interest. Both homes are well priced and each offers a unique living setting.

2217 Thurm Avenue is .  They are calling it a 3 bedroom two bath home. What makes this home unique is the setting—you feel as though you are at your own retreat. It sports open beam ceilings which makes the southwestern style motif work so well. Listed by the Gillmartin Goup.

Just Listed in Belmont-- 2217 Thurm
Just Listed in Belmont– 2217 Thurm

 

 

2217 THURM AVENUE, Belmont 94002 Status: Active MLS #: 81316043
Class: Single Family Residential Orig Price: $938,000 List: 05/10/2013
Area: Haskins Estates Etc. (361) List Price: $938,000 Original: 05/10/2013
County: SAN MATEO COUNTY Sale:
Complex: COE:
Beds: 3 Baths: 2 (2/0) Expires: 08/29/2013
Approx SqFt: 1,630 (Assessor) Off Mrkt:
Approx Lot: 7,150 Sqft (Assessor) DOM: 4
Built/Age: 1956(Assessor)/57 Green doc: No

Another home worth honorable mention is the home at 2763 San Carlos Avenue. While San Carlos Avenue can be a busy street, you don’t feel that way when you are in this home. It’s set up from the street on a small bluff and the owners have done an excellent job of orienting the living area so that you feel secluded. Then of course there’s the backyard fireplace and grill that makes for great evening outdoor entertaining. Listed by Premiere Properties.

2763 San Carlos Avenue - Just LIsted
2763 San Carlos Avenue – Just Listed

 

 

 

2763 SAN CARLOS AVENUE, San Carlos 94070 Status: Active MLS #: 81315791
Class: Single Family Residential Orig Price: $888,000 List: 05/09/2013
Area: Beverly Terrace Etc. (351) List Price: $888,000 Original: 05/09/2013
County: SAN MATEO COUNTY Sale:
Complex: COE:
Beds: 3 Baths: 2 (2/0) Expires: 12/31/2013
Approx SqFt: 1,240 (Assessor) Off Mrkt:
Approx Lot: 7,000 Sqft (Assessor) DOM: 5
Built/Age: 1954(Assessor)/59 Green doc: No

 

Disclaimer:

Drew & Christine Morgan are REALTORS/NOTARY PUBLIC in Belmont, CA. and may be reached at (650) 508.1441.

The information contained in this article is educational and intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute real estate, tax or legal advice, nor does it substitute for advice specific to your situation. Always consult an appropriate professional familiar with your scenario.

Drew & Christine Morgan did not necessarily participate in these sales.

Belmont Home Values Rise Again in April But Sales Cool Off – Housing Report for April 2013

We’ll do a quick re-cap of the Belmont housing market for April 2013, since by now unless you’ve been living under a rock you’ve heard that the Peninsula housing market is back in full swing; and some would argue the swing is becoming dangerous to ride.

We’re probably a few years away from that precipice and we seriously doubt that the current run up of home values will continue at the frenetic pace we’ve seen in the last year. If the rate of appreciation settles down to sub double digit increases year-over-year the market will be more sustainable.

If you are some place where you can hear our audio accompaniment, we’ve recorded a short piece which helps explain some of the perplexing numbers for Belmont home values in April of 2013.

That’s a long way of saying we’ll be brief in our analysis this month. We’ll start with the big news which is probably not what you’d expect to hear…

[click on the sales for a full size chart]

Belmont Home Sales April 2013

SALES

Sales year-over-year dropped 30% in the month of April. In April of 2012 24 homes traded hands while in 2013 only 17 homes closed escrow.

 

New Listings

New listings were up 40% in 2013 over 2012 for the month of April.

Current Inventory

The inventory of homes available for sale in April of 2013 dropped 27% over last year at the same time.

Months of Inventory

The time it would take to sell off the entire current inventory of homes at the current rate of sales was virtually unchanged from 1.78 months of inventory last April to 1.76 months this year.

Do some of these numbers seem paradoxical? More new listings and fewer sales—is the market cooling off? If you’d like a more detailed discussion you may visit our blog page for a short podcast where we explain the correlation these numbers have to each other.

MEDIAN PRICE

The median home price in Belmont increased around 12% to $955,000 over last April when the median price was $849,500.

Reading between the lines—we see that the size home that sold in 2012 though was also 2,070 square feet as opposed to the homes which sold this April which were only 1,520 square feet. Effectively this means in 2013 you get a home in Belmont that is 26% smaller but cost you 12% more. That’s a serious increase in prices in just one year which we discuss more in the audio portion.

PRICE REDUCTIONS

Another indication of the hot Belmont housing market is reflected in the number of price reductions—or lack thereof. There were no price reductions in April for any Belmont home which sold.

In April of 2012, out of the 24 sales 10 homes sold above the asking price, 4 sold at the asking price and 10 sold below. In 2013 all but one home sold over the asking price.

PERCENT RECEIVED

Sellers in Belmont received on average 111% of their asking price in April of 2013 as compared to 99.6% last April.

If you are a seller who has been waiting for the market to rebound, it just did.

Data from the Multiple Listing Service for San Mateo County – MLS Listings, Inc.

Disclaimer:

The information contained in this article is educational and intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute real estate, tax or legal advice, nor does it substitute for advice specific to your situation. Always consult an appropriate professional familiar with your scenario. Drew & Christine did not participate in all of these sales.

Housing Price Increases – Is There Any End in Sight?

Looking at the home sales in Belmont during the first quarter, one can see from this spreadsheet that every seller who listed their home received over their asking price. They were only a few exceptions. One was a home that was a short sale which we took out of the mix since those list prices are arbitrary, one was an off-market sale. We discounted any home that had been listed since last year to reflect the more robust 2013 season.

[click on the image for larger print]

Belmont Q1 2013 Home Sales

The percent that sellers are receiving over their asking price is mind boggling. It all has to do with the short supply of homes and the large numbers of buyers trying to take advantage of the historically low interest rates.

Of course that could change. Interest rates could rise making homes more expensive, or with rising prices, more “Equity Sellers” will develop as homes which were under water can now be sold for a profit. More inventory of homes means more competition for sellers as buyers will have more homes to choose from.

Disclaimer:

The information contained in this article is educational and intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute real estate, tax or legal advice, nor does it substitute for advice specific to your situation. Always consult an appropriate professional familiar with your scenario.

 

Where Did All the Inventory Go? Long Time Passing…

Where did all of the listing go? Where’s the inventory?

That’s a common question today as eager home buyers are wondering if they’ll ever get a house. As we said in an earlier post, it’s not that there aren’t enough homes coming on the market, it’s that they all sell, and so it appears there are no homes to buy.

We’re getting enough questions about the hot housing market that we thought it warranted an attempt to explain what the reasons are for what Mr. Shiller (of Case-Shiller) would likely refer to as “Irrational Exuberance” after a book he authored by the same name.

Before we show you the numbers, which in some cases are absolutely mind boggling, we’ll proffer our explanation.

Our economy and the housing sector are recovering from the longest and most devastating housing downturn since the great depression. Home values plummeted for five years in a row in the end making home ownership more affordable.

As seen in this graph, home affordability peaked in 2009, yet sales were still dismal. Even with reduced home prices and record low interest rates buyers were afraid to take the plunge into home ownership.

There were still several obstacles which buyers had to overcome. Confidence in the economy and confidence in job stability. Even though home affordability peaked in 2009 potential home buyers were worried about the economy and their jobs. To compound the reluctance to move forward there was the deep rooted psychological trauma in the wake of post bubble bursting which was enough to keep most skeptics on the sideline for a few more years.

We saw things begin to change in 2011 when we were being inundated with new hires in the tech sector moving from out of state and requesting our assistance in securing a one year rental. It was the first sign that 2012 housing might pick-up—and it did.

In 2012 the “Buy Now” light switch was flipped on and buyers came out in droves to bid on the few home available. Why did so many buyers elect to more forward all at once? Because they all enjoyed the same motivating elements—America was on sale, interest rates were at historic lows, and now with companies hiring again, buyers felt comfortable in their jobs.

So in the wake of the greatest housing downturn in U.S. history, it seems plausible that might be going through a rebound equally as dramatic.

How long can this last? More “Equity Sellers” are being created every day as home prices replenish the equity lost during the downturn. More homes for sale will help the current historically low inventory levels (San Mateo County has less than two months of inventory and Belmont less than one).  But don’t expect prices to drop anytime soon. Even higher interest rates have had little affect on the prices of Peninsula homes.

Now onto the numbers...This is our post about the first quarter Belmont home sales. Here you can see how low inventory levels have created overbids averaging 114% of the seller’s asking price.

The partial title is a tribute to the endless hours my father would play the Kingston Trio’s “Where Have All the Flowers Gone” which harkens to the days of the Vietnam War resistance. If you are old enough to remember that little ditty, I’m sure it’s stuck in your head by now too…

 

Disclaimer:

The information contained in this article is educational and intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute real estate, tax or legal advice, nor does it substitute for advice specific to your situation. Always consult an appropriate professional familiar with your scenario.

Are Home Prices Rising Too Fast?

Are Home Prices Rising Too Fast? [re-blog]

DAILY REAL ESTATE NEWS | MONDAY, APRIL 15, 2013Rising Home Prices

Some housing analysts are concerned that the sudden rise in home prices could make homes more unaffordable again if the price increases outpace income growth, The Wall Street Journal reports.

Average housing costs for home buyers who took out a mortgage were around 22.5 percent of average incomes, according to John Burns Real Estate Consulting. That is down from 38.5 percent in 2006, the peak of the housing bubble. The historical average is about 33 percent.

But with home prices rising in many markets and, in some, rising at a faster pace than income levels, will more people soon be priced out of the market?

Housing analysts say that, for now at least, lower mortgage rates are offsetting the higher prices of homes.

Borrowers have seen their purchasing power rise by around 33 percent over the past four years due to the low interest rates, The Wall Street Journal reports. For example, a borrower can make a $1,000 monthly mortgage payment and qualify for a $222,000 mortgage at today’s low interest rates, compared to 2008 when they’d likely qualify for $165,000 when mortgage rates were around 6.1 percent — nearly double what they are today.

Borrowers are able to withstand home-price increases because of the low rates, not because household incomes are growing, The Wall Street Journal reports. If mortgage rates tick back up to the 6 percent or 8 percent range, homes may look overpriced relative to incomes, according to housing analysts.

Source: “Why Rising Interest Rates Could Eventually Curb Price Gains,” The Wall Street Journal (April 10, 2013)

Read More

Existing Home Sales and Prices Continue to Rise
What’s Really Driving the Rise in Home Prices?