Proposition 19 vs 13−Confusion Continues to Abound

Many people feel Proposition 19 was “snuck in” or that voters didn’t fully realize what they were agreeing to. Ever since it passed, there’s been a lot of confusion and frustration. The takeaway is that it’s essential to really understand what’s on the ballot before casting a vote.

The part that confuses most people is who Prop 19 actually impacts. The truth is, it mainly affects people who inherit a home but don’t plan to live in it themselves.

How Prop 19 Works for Inherited Homes

  1. If You Move In
    • If you inherit a family home and make it your primary residence, you can keep the low property tax base your parent or grandparent had.
    • But there’s a limit: if the market value is more than $1 million higher than the old taxable value, the amount above that gets added to your new tax base.
    • Example: If the old taxable value was $300,000 and the home is worth $1.6M when transferred, the new taxable value becomes $600,000. Unaffordable? Remember, these inherited homes typically come with no mortgage payment.
  2. If You Rent It Out
    • If you inherit a property and don’t live in it (for example, you turn it into a rental), it’s reassessed at full market value. That means you lose the lower tax base your parent or grandparent had.

Why the change? It comes down to trade-offs. Prop 19 gave homeowners a valuable new benefit: the ability to transfer their low property tax base to any location in California when they move. However, to offset the cost, the state decided that heirs who use inherited property as an investment—not as a primary home—should pay property taxes based on today’s market value.

Put simply, if you live in the home, you retain most of the old exclusionary tax break. If you turn it into an income property, the state treats it like any other investment. While it may feel harsh, the intent was to make the system fairer by ensuring investors pay their share, while still protecting families who truly keep the home as their residence.

Prop 13 vs. Prop 19: Key Differences

FeatureProposition 13 (1978)Proposition 19 (2020)
Property Tax RateCapped at 1% of assessed valueStill capped at 1% (Prop 19 did not change this)
Annual IncreasesAssessed value can rise max 2% per yearSame 2% cap applies
Reassessment TriggerReassessed at market value when sold or newly builtSame rule applies
Parent-to-Child / Grandparent-to-Grandchild TransfersHeirs could keep the low tax base on homes (and sometimes rentals) without limitsHeirs can keep the low tax base only if they move in and use it as their primary residence. If rented out, reassessed at market value
Value Limit for Inherited HomesNo value limit; heirs kept original tax base regardless of property’s market valueTax base is kept only up to $1 million above the original assessed value (adjusted for inflation). Anything over is added to the tax base
Moving Low Tax Base to a New HomeOnly allowed for people 55+ or disabled, and only within the same county (or limited counties)Homeowners 55+, disabled, or wildfire victims can transfer their low tax base anywhere in California up to 3 times
Overall GoalKeep property taxes stable and predictable for long-term ownersExpand portability of tax savings for older/disabled homeowners, while limiting tax breaks on inherited investment properties

Drew and Christine Morgan are experienced REALTORS and NOTARY PUBLIC located in Belmont, CA, where they own and operate MORGANHOMES, Inc. They have assisted buyers and sellers in their community for over 30 years. Drew and Christine have received the coveted Diamond award, ranking among the top 50 agents nationwide and the top 3 in Northern California by RE/MAX. To contact them, please call (650) 508.1441 or emailinfo@morganhomes.com.

For all you need to know about Belmont, subscribe to this blog right here. You can also follow us on Facebook and on X.

This article provides educational information and is intended for informational purposes only. It should not be considered real estate, tax, insurance, or legal advice; it cannot replace advice tailored to your situation. It’s always best to seek guidance from a professional familiar with your scenario.

BROKER | MANAGER | NOTARY

You’ve Lived Through Hundreds of Solstices and Equinoxes—Time to Finally Find Out What they Actually are…

Equinox vs Solstice

Things happen four times a year, whether you notice them or not—and odds are, you’ve just lived through one without even realizing it. We’re talking about the winter and summer solstices and the spring and fall equinoxes. If you’re around 50 years old (and have managed to stay on this planet the whole time), congratulations: you’ve racked up about 200 of these cosmic milestones… and may still have no idea what just happened.

Curious? You should be! The equinoxes—from the Latin aequus (equal) and nox (night)—are the moments when day and night share a truce, giving us almost equal daylight and darkness. Easy to remember, right? Meanwhile, the solstices—from sol (sun) and sistere (to stand still)—mark the Sun’s “pause button” in the sky, creating either the longest day or the longest night of the year.

So the next time you’re marveling at how dark it gets at 5 p.m. or why the sun won’t set until after dinner, remember: you’re not just annoyed at daylight savings—you’re witnessing an ancient celestial event. 🌞🌍

Click here for a more in-depth explanation for the science-minded folks out there…

Drew and Christine Morgan are experienced REALTORS and NOTARY PUBLIC located in Belmont, CA, where they own and operate MORGANHOMES, Inc. They have assisted buyers and sellers in their community for over 30 years. Drew and Christine have received the coveted Diamond award and ranked among the top 50 agents nationwide and the top 3 in Northern California by RE/MAX. To contact them, please call (650) 508.1441 or emailinfo@morganhomes.com.

For all you need to know about Belmont, subscribe to this blog right here. You can also follow us on Facebook and on X.

This article provides educational information and is intended for informational purposes only. It should not be considered real estate, tax, insurance, or legal advice; it cannot replace advice tailored to your situation. It’s always best to seek guidance from a professional who is familiar with your specific scenario.

BROKER | MANAGER | NOTARY

San Mateo County Housing Stays Hot, But Inventory Surge Signals Shift

Here’s a clear breakdown of what’s happening in the San Mateo County (SMC) housing market from 2024 to 2025 based on data from the MLS for Q1.

Key Highlights:

  • New Listings: Up 16.7% — more sellers are entering the market.
  • Homes Sold: Barely up (+2.6%) — demand is steady but not surging with the new supply. This increases the Inventor levels as buyers are uncertain about the economic future.
  • Inventory: Up a big 57.8% — supply has increased significantly. Bidding wars are waning. This will slow the rate of home appreciation.
  • Average Days on Market (DOM): Down 11.1% (from 27 to 24 days) — homes are selling slightly faster despite higher inventory, suggesting continued demand.

Prices & Valuation:

  • Average Sale Price: Up 6.7% ($2.44M ➡️ $2.61M) — strong upward pressure on prices.
  • Median Sale Price: Up 4.7% ($1.91M ➡️ $2M) — supporting the trend that the broader market, not just luxury homes, is appreciating.
  • Median $/SqFt: Up 3% — price growth per square foot is solid but more moderate, suggesting that larger homes might be contributing to the higher overall sale prices.
  • % List Price Received: Up from 104% ➡️ 107% — buyers are paying even more over asking, indicating competitive offers remain.

Volume & Sizes:

  • Total Sale Volume: Up 9.4%—Higher prices and slightly more sales have lifted the total dollar volume since sales only increased 2.6%.
  • Average Home Size: Up 2.5% (2055 to 2107 sqft) — larger homes selling might be nudging up average prices. If the average home price went up 6.7 % but 2.5% of that was due to larger homes selling, a YOY average sale price percentage would be reduced to 4.2%.

Market Dynamics:

  • Months of Inventory: Up 57.1% (from 1.4 to 2.2 months) — still a seller’s market (under 3 months), but it’s becoming more balanced due to buyer jitters.

Summary Insight:

The SMC housing market in 2025 looks like it’s in a hot but slightly more balanced phase:

  • Supply has risen sharply, but demand is keeping pace (homes are selling faster, prices are up, and bidding is competitive, just not as much so).
  • The increase in larger home sales might be boosting both the average sale price and the sales volume.
  • Inventory is building, which could give buyers slightly more leverage in the coming months if the trend continues.
  • Fed. interest rates remained unchanged.

Commentary: With all the uncertainty around tariffs, buyers are taking the classic “wait-and-see” approach — emphasis on the wait. One thing they’re sure of? Their stock portfolios took a hit… but hey, it’s only a loss if they cash out to buy that house, right? Yet another reason to stay on the sidelines a little longer and let the dust (and the Dow) settle.

The Risk Reward? Buy now while prices are climbing a little and bidding wars are catching their breath — or wait with the crowd for “more certain times” and join the stampede when the bidding starts up full throttle again.

Drew and Christine Morgan are experienced REALTORS and NOTARY PUBLIC located in Belmont, CA, where they own and operate MORGANHOMES, Inc. They have assisted buyers and sellers in their community for over 30 years. Drew and Christine have received the coveted Diamond award and ranked among the top 50 agents nationwide and the top 3 in Northern California by RE/MAX. To contact them, please call (650) 508.1441 or emailinfo@morganhomes.com.

For all you need to know about Belmont, subscribe to this blog right here. You can also follow us on Facebook and on Twitter.

This article provides educational information and is intended for informational purposes only. It should not be considered real estate, tax, insurance, or legal advice; it cannot replace advice tailored to your situation. It’s always best to seek guidance from a professional familiar with your scenario.

BROKER | MANAGER | NOTARY

The Evolution of REALTOR Compensation: Understanding Changes in Buyer’s Agent Remuneration

A trend is emerging wherein sellers opt to exclusively remunerate their own agent, leaving the buyer’s agent compensation subject to negotiation by buyers.

Continue reading

Murky Real Estate Future Causes Housing Slowdown

Is the sky falling when it comes to real estate in 2022, or have we seen this before?

Bay Area real estate has always been buoyed by strong consumer sentiment that the inflated prices will remain a good investment. But once there’s a chink in the armor, all bets are off.

First there was the real impact of rising interest rates, that began the first of the year in 2022 and have continued to date.

Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States [MORTGAGE30US], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MORTGAGE30US, November 9, 2022.

That coincided with the stock market downturn which affected the down payment resources of many potential buyers.

S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, S&P 500 [SP500], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SP500, November 9, 2022.

Inflation per se, is actually a good hedge against inflation, but inflation scares people and people who are unsure of the future tend to hunker down.

Finally, and hopefully the last issue in 2022, has been the recent job layoffs in the Bay Area.

These events affected the Bay Area housing sector in the following ways:

On a macro scale, the Case-Shiller[1] report for the nine Bay Area counties, also known as the San Francisco Metropolitan Area—SFMSA, reported a steady YOY decline in home values after the peak in May—beginning in June of 2022.

S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, S&P/Case-Shiller CA-San Francisco Home Price Index [SFXRSA], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SFXRSA, November 9, 2022.

Notice the skyrocketing home prices in the first quarter of 2021—up almost 25% YOY.

The markets technically peaked in April, and the May closings with the typical 30 day close of escrow figures support that.

Since then, we can see home values, while still higher than they were a year ago at the same time, are quickly back peddling—only 5% higher than a year ago—down from 24% higher in March 2022.

COMPARE AND CONTRASTING DOWNTURNS

Looking at the high in March of 2006, we saw closings strong, with 21 sales, only one price reduction, and sellers netting 103% of their asking prices.

Fast forward to October in 2006, and what sellers received of their asking price dropped to 102%, sales remained the same at 21, but four homes needed price reductions.

In March of 2022, there were zero price reductions, 31 sales, and homes sold for 113% of asking with no price reductions.

In October of 2022, only seven homes sold for 102% of asking with one home needing a price reduction. 

As of this article printing, there are still 21 homes available to choose from, four with price reductions and the average days on market at 40.

THE TAKEAWAY

The future of Bay Area real estate is murky at best. Real estate is highly speculative, and there are many talking heads ready to proffer their opinion of what will come next. The media plays a large roll in affecting the mindset of unsure buyers. The media’s angle is to get a reader or viewer’s attention since more eyeballs equals sponsorship and income for their business, so they tend to be overly dramatic in their headlines and analysis and look for ways to support their sometimes sensational, preconceived views rather than report the facts without spin.

We’re in the trenches and we’ll be the first to tell you there’s no way for us to predict what the market will look like next month let alone in 2023. The future of real estate is always in the buyer’s hands. Until they feel comfortable their jobs are secure, that they can afford the home and cash out needed funds from their stock portfolios, that the market won’t collapse out from under them, they’ll stand down and wait it out.

Market swings in the Bay Area are more akin to a light switch, than a dimmer. Ironically, once the above negative obstacles are overcome, it will hold true for many buyers at the same time and the proverbial light will come on as buyers jump back into the market all at once, and multiple offers will raise their ugly head again.

Drew & Christine Morgan are REALTORS/NOTARY PUBLIC in Belmont, CA. with more than 30 years of experience in helping sellers and buyers in their community. As Diamond recipients, Drew and Christine ranked in the top 50 RE/MAX agents nationwide and the top 3 in Northern California.  They may be reached at (650) 508.1441 or emailed at info@morganhomes.com.

For all you need to know about Belmont, subscribe to this blog right here. You can also follow us on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/Morganhomes and on Twitter @ https://twitter.com/morganhomes

The information contained in this article is educational and intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute real estate, tax, insurance or legal advice, nor does it substitute for advice specific to your situation. Always consult an appropriate professional familiar with your scenario.

[1] Case Shiller reporting has a three-month lag

How to Price a Home in the Bay Area or Gamble and Stand to Lose Everything

What you May Not Know About Pricing a Home

Pricing a home in an uncertain market is much harder than it has been in the past few years, where so long as a home was priced low enough, it would garner multiple offers and be bid up to what the current market could bear.

How This Effects Sellers

The reason multiple offers generate over asking bids is obvious—somebody wants to own that home and offering below or at the asking price is a waste of time with other competitive bidders.

But what you may not be aware of, is the discrepancy in the offers received. Frequently we see offers ranging from at the asking price to hundreds of thousands of dollars over asking. What nobody except the seller and their agent knows is that the spread between the highest offer and the second highest bidder is often $100,000 or more apart.

This is exactly why when pricing a home, you want to price it so that multiple bidders will compete, and the winner will have paid too much—more than anyone else was willing to bid. 

In investing it’s referred to as the Great Fool Rule Theory—and it works to a seller’s advantage. This is a study performed at Berkeley where they proved that bidding caused people to overpay. They call it The Bidder’s Curse aka The Winner’s Curse.

Here is an excerpt from their analysis linked above:

“An example that compares closely to our empirical analysis and research design is real estate auctions. Ashenfelter and Genesove (1992) document auctions of 83 condominium apartments in New Jersey, which — when the auction sale unexpectedly fell through — sold at significantly lower prices in face-to-face negotiations. The findings in this paper suggest that the large number of auction participants was a key determinant. It ensured the presence of overbidders.” — The Bidder’s Curse, Young Han Lee Ulrike Malmendier, May 13, 2008

The Rest of The Story

The recent sales we pulled in San Mateo County tell the whole story. We looked at all sales for homes listed after the market changed in April of 2022 to date of this writing, (July 29,2022).

The average days on market was 12, and the sellers received 106% of their asking price—not bad. But looking closer, we broke down the sales further to find a correlation between homes that received under their asking price and those which received over their asking price as compared to how long they were on the market, and the numbers tell the rest of the story.

Pricing a home too high means it will languish on the market, but it also means you will receive far less for your home.

Homes which were priced well, attracted multiple offers, and sold for over the asking price, in on average 9.5 days for 112% over the asking price

Homes which sold right at the asking price, sold on average in 12 days.*

Homes which sold for less than asking, took 21 days to sell, and the seller’s received only 93% of asking.

That represents a whopping 19% difference between a home that languishes on the market and one that sells quickly.

For the median price home in San Mateo County, that 19% deficit represents a loss of $361,000 in real dollars.

Price Reduction Correlation

Homes that sold over the asking price represented 70% of all sales. There were only five of those homes which had price reductions, and all sold over the original asking price once lowered. Our experience tells us that these homes probably received multiple offers after the price reductions which is the only rational explanation as to why they would be bid up beyond what a buyer could have purchased the home for prior to the reduction.

Homes that sold at the asking price represented only 4% of the sales, or 20 homes. (*We excluded another 25 homes that sold at the asking price as they were non-arms’ length transactions—sold off market in zero days).

Homes which sold under the asking price represented 26% of all sales, with 40% enduring price reductions averaging $213,00 in reductions of the asking price.

Pricing Your Home

As we’ve discussed in a prior post, many sellers make the mistake of focusing on two questions. How much do you charge and how much is my home worth—two of the least important questions.

To answer the first question, how much an agent charges may be inconsequential if they are the one able to net you that 19% more—It makes a full commission look paltry in comparison.

The second question of how much your home is worth is equally unimportant to ask your agent. What your agent needs to know is how to price it to attract bidders. What he or she thinks your home will sell for, doesn’t change the outcome of what you will receive. 

Often sellers fall into the confirmation bias trap. They hire an agent based upon the answer to these two questions almost entirely. The agents who tell them what they think their home is worth—or more—that is aligned with their preconceived notions, is the agent they subconsciously tend to be drawn to as they feel a common bond with a like-minded being.

Buying a Listing

This trap is what many agents leverage. Some agents will tell you what your home is worth based solely upon what they think you want to hear—or even higher. It’s called in our industry “Buying a Listing”. Sellers are of course delighted to hear that their home is worth more than they thought. Why? Because the agent told them so? But the agent is not buying their home—they’re just buying the listing—so their opinion is irrelevant and does more harm than good, as we have demonstrated. These agents represent some of the above 26% that promised a high price, and were forced to backtrack and convince the seller to lower the price until the home finally sells.

Failing to properly learn the right questions to ask an agent, is gambling with your biggest asset, and we all know the house will eventually take everything.

Here are a few more good reads if you are considering selling your home:

How to Stop Agents from Behaving Badly at Your Expense

Why Open Houses May Not Ever Have Been Necessary After All

Jeopardizing Multiple Offers

If you’re considering selling your home, contact us for an honest evaluation.

Drew & Christine Morgan are REALTORS/NOTARY PUBLIC in Belmont, CA. with more than 25 years of experience in helping sellers and buyers in their community. As Diamond recipients, Drew and Christine are ranked in the top 50 RE/MAX agents nationwide and the top 3 in Northern California.  They may be reached at (650) 508.1441 or emailed at info@morganhomes.com.

For all you need to know about Belmont, subscribe to this blog right here. You can also follow us on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/Morganhomes and on Twitter @ https://twitter.com/morganhomes

The information contained in this article is educational and intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute real estate, tax, insurance or legal advice, nor does it substitute for advice specific to your situation. Always consult an appropriate professional familiar with your scenario.

Fed Interest Rate Hikes and Your Mortgage

By now you’ve probably heard that interest rates will soon be rising. The media reports simple sound bites such as, “Interest Rates Rise” which is of little help in understanding to which interest rates they are referring—credit card debt, student loan, small business loans or home loans?

Why are the Feds Raising Rates and What will it Mean?

The Federal Reserve rate making the news is set by the Federal Open Market Committee, which is part of the Federal Reserve. It is used as part of a monetary policy to attempt to help smooth the inevitable business cycles that the economy experiences. 

When we hear “The Feds are going to raise rates”, it’s important to note that specific change to the Federal Reserve overnight rate affects adjustable-rate mortgages. One must also watch Treasury Notes and Bonds for volatility in fixed rate mortgages.

The Federal Reserve keeping interest rates low helped us all through the 2007-2009 recession and again was employed during the Pandemic to help keep the economy from wild market force swings.

After the housing bubble burst in 2007, conforming loans actually had higher interest rates due to their greater propensity for default, while Jumbo loans enjoyed smaller rates of default as they were often tired to a properties with more equity.

But the Fed needs room to maneuver and raising the rate to more normal levels gives them some ammo in their arsenal in the event they need to employ their interest rate weapon again.

Since the attack on Ukraine, the feds have already signaled that they will slow any rate hikes this year for fear of stalling the economy. Once they begin raising rates it will serve to slow down the current high inflation by dampening spending.

This is a good illustration of how the Feds use this tool during recessions to stimulate or suppress the economy.

What Effect Interest Rate Hikes will have on Home Loans?

As we discussed in an earlier blog,  the Federal Reserve rate—does not necessarily mean home loans will follow suit—though some often do. 

  • The 10 year Note (typically affects 15 year fixed rate mortgages)
  • The 30 year Bond (typically affects 30 year fixed rates)
  • The Federal Funds Rate (affects Adjustable Mortgage rates)

As interest rates on Treasury notes rise, banks can raise the interest rates on new fixed rate mortgages. That means home buyers will have to pay more each month for a loan which in turn takes away purchasing power. Typically, when interest rates rise, home prices fall. When housing prices fall, the economy slows.

One of the rates most often discussed is the 10-year note. This frequently serves as a benchmark for setting long-term rates like commercial and residential mortgages. This rate is not directly set by the government. It is determined by market forces, often as simple as supply and demand.

Although today’s rates aren’t crazy by historical standards, they are higher than they have been in years, and that’s likely to have a small effect in the housing market — though we don’t see housing prices to declining significantly.

“More than a decade of chronic underbuilding and millions of millennials moving into the homebuying stage of life has created a significant imbalance between housing supply and demand,” McBride from Bank Rate said.“While rapidly rising mortgage rates may temper the demand somewhat, don’t expect home price appreciation to come to a halt. A more modest pace of appreciation is the likelier outcome.

More About Mortgages

Conventional mortgages fall into two main categories: “conforming” and “nonconforming” loans.

Conforming loans are home loans that are purchased by government entities such as Fanny Mae and Freddie Mac and must meet their guidelines such as the amount of down payment. These organizations make the access to more mortgage loans available. These tend to be smaller loans.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) raised the 2022 Conforming loan limits in California. This allows some mortgage loans that were previously labeled “Jumbo” to now be placed in the Conforming loan limit category. Conforming loans in California generally come with better mortgage rates and easier underwriting requirements.

A ”Jumbo” loan is considered a non-conforming loan, when it is in excess of the loan limits allowed for a conforming loan. 

What Are The 2022 Conforming Loan Limits in the Bay Area?

San Francisco, San Mateo & Santa Clara all have the highest limits available—$970,800 for a conforming loan.

What Does this Mean for You?

If you’re a homeowner thinking of selling, higher rates could impact the amount buyers can overbid for your home, as higher rates impact purchasing power.

If you’re a buyer, it means money will cost you more going forward so finding a home sooner rather than later could save you thousands of dollars. Every time there’s a tick up in interest rates buyers get more anxious about completing a purchase—so expect more short-term competition.

Our belief is that a modest rise in the fed rate will have a nominal effect on interest rates, but since lenders can react in any way they choose, all bets are off to definitively say how the upcoming rate hikes will impact our local housing market.

Drew & Christine Morgan are REALTORS/NOTARY PUBLIC in Belmont, CA. with more than 25 years of experience in helping sellers and buyers in their community. As Diamond recipients, Drew and Christine are ranked in the top 50 RE/MAX agents nationwide and the top 3 in Northern California.  They may be reached at (650) 508.1441 or emailed at info@morganhomes.com.

For all you need to know about Belmont, subscribe to this blog right here. You can also follow us on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/Morganhomes and on Twitter @ https://twitter.com/morganhomes

The information contained in this article is educational and intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute real estate, tax, insurance or legal advice, nor does it substitute for advice specific to your situation. Always consult an appropriate professional familiar with your scenario.

A LOOK AT 2021 HOUSING AND WHAT LIES AHEAD IN 2022

Unless you’ve been living under a rock the past two years, you’ve no doubt heard that home values climbed their assent into the stratosphere.

Stratosphere

But as local agents for over 25 years, even we have a hard time wrapping our heads around the staggering numbers.

You may have also heard that there’s “no inventory”. Well, that’s not exactly true.

Then what’s causing the spike in prices? High demand, not lack of supply—unlike the overall economy that’s suffering from a lack of supply and high demand.

Comparing the annual number for 2020 to 2021, we’ll start with the inventory of homes for sale.

The number of new listings that came on the market in 2020 was 234 in 2020 and 249 in 2021 which is an increase of 6.4% more homes available for sale in 2021. Then why is everyone talking about low inventory? Because sales went from 183 units in 2020 to 254 in 2021—a whopping 38% increase—so there are no homes left to buy.

One might ponder, “How can that be?” If you only have an increase of 6.4% in new listings, how can you have 38% more sales. The answer is everything is selling in 2021 while in 2020 some of those new listings never made it into escrow.

That’s evident in the days on market, which dropped 45%, from 20 days to only 11, and the percent a seller received over the asking price climbed from 105% in 2020 to 114% in 2021. 

Another indicator of the scant number of homes available at any given moment is the “Months of Inventory” statistic, that measures how long it would take to sell all of the available inventory at the current rate of sales. That dropped from a meager .4 months, to an almost immeasurable .1 month, (overall, the U.S. stands at around six months of inventory at any given time).

What effect did this have on home values? Nothing, but it had a lot to do with home prices. They hit their highest level in history recording a median home price of $2,245,000 up from $1,888,000—a 19% increase YOY and a 28% increase in the past two years—while the size of homes selling in the last two periods stayed statistically similar at 1,968 and 1,962 square feet respectively. 

This is an article we did back in 2018 on the supposed crest of interest rate hikes.

There is some cooling off of the astronomical climb in prices as noted by the Case-Shiller study for the Bay Area’s metropolitan area, but that may not reflect our local hot spot trends in the mid-peninsula.

What to Watch Out For

Rising Interest Rates

Rising interest rates may give buyers some relief from a super-heated market, may also serve to quell their purchasing power while softening prices. The irony is just when buyers may be able to compete in the market, even if they were to pay less for a home, they’ll end up paying more in interest in their loans.

Drew & Christine Morgan are REALTORS/NOTARY PUBLIC in Belmont, CA. with more than 25 years of experience in helping sellers and buyers in their community. As Diamond recipients, Drew and Christine are ranked in the top 50 RE/MAX agents nationwide and the top 3 in Northern California.  They may be reached at (650) 508.1441 or emailed at info@morganhomes.com.

For all you need to know about Belmont, subscribe to this blog right here. You can also follow us on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/Morganhomesand on Twitter @ https://twitter.com/morganhomes

The information contained in this article is educational and intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute real estate, tax, insurance or legal advice, nor does it substitute for advice specific to your situation. Always consult an appropriate professional familiar with your scenario.