How to Find the Best Schools

This you already know: Parents want to send their kids to good schools. So that’s why they flock to neighborhoods—sometimes paying hundreds of thousands more to live there—that purport to have them. But what does “good school” really mean? Is it really all about the test scores?

Increasingly, educational experts say: not really. These days, many of them hail the importance of other, less tangible goals such as fostering social and emotional intelligence. Others tout the importance of executive function skills: the ability to plan, focus, remember instructions, and multitask. In the Finnish school system, purportedly the best in the world, academics are delayed, homework and testing are minimized, and free play time is valued.

But not so much in the U.S. With the ever-growing emphasis on standardized test scores, including for the new Common Core standards, educators and parents worry that schools are “teaching to the test” instead of teaching what kids need.

So how can you really figure out what that is? As with all things parenting, you have to decide for yourself what’s best for your family. Here are some tips on how to figure that out.

Determine what kind of learner your child is.

No matter what kids are required to learn, there are different ways to get them there.

Kids often have strikingly different learning styles. Some are visual, and fare better when things are illustrated rather than spoken; some learn better in groups; some are better able to focus if they’re alone. And some simply learn best by doing. And while no school caters entirely to one kind of learner, you may be able to find a school whose approach works better for your kid. Talk to the principal and teachers about how they accommodate different learning styles.

Find out if the school has the basics

Traditional barometers such as class size, student-to-teacher ratio and, yeah, test scores do matter—to some extent.

“They’re the best predictors of a school or district’s academic foundation,” says Bill Jackson, founder and CEO of GreatSchools, a nonprofit organization that provides nationwide school ratings. And schools need that foundation so they have something on which to build and to set goals.

Joyce Szuflita, an educational coach and founder of NYC School Help in New York City, has another view.

“If I were stuck on a desert island and could only ask for one piece of data while considering a school for my child, I’d want to know the percentage of kids who are chronically absent,” she says, arguing that a high attendance rate indicates a positive school culture in which the staff, students, and parents are all committed to success.

Look beyond academic development

In addition to solid academics, experts increasingly tout the importance of a holistic education, which cultivates students’ moral, emotional, physical, and psychological aptitudes.

Schools with programs that teach empathy, self-motivation, and adaptability—or emotional intelligence—equip students with the life skills proven to foster success. Having a high IQ might demonstrate mastery of a body of knowledge, but a high EQ (emotional quotient) indicates that a student can be flexible and understanding, synthesize information and successfully interact with all kinds of people, which might be better predictors of future success than high grades or scores.

Seek creative learning opportunities

Forget rote memorization; the academic and intellectual skills needed to thrive in tomorrow’s multinational, dynamic workforce aren’t the same as those that led to success before the millennium.

“Expansive ideas and creative thinking will become even more essential in the future,” says Dr. Shimi Kang, author of the forthcoming book “The Self-Motivated Kid: How to Raise Happy, Healthy Children Who Know What They Want and Go After It (Without Being Told).” Consequently, she contends that a “good” school today is one that helps foster 21st-century skills such as creativity, collaboration, communication, and critical thinking.

These might be schools with highly developed music programs, team sports, extracurricular clubs with broad focus (environmental protection, community service, even juggling or a “Harry Potter”-themed Wizards & Muggles club)—any activity that develops diligence, creativity, and quick thinking.

Consider lower-ranked or up-and-coming schools

Szuflita suggests resisting the urge to follow the crowds to the “best” schools in town, which could have problems with overcrowding and waitlists, despite their virtues. Instead, track the progress of previously overlooked schools, ones that may have a new principal, an increasingly active PTA, and/or an attendance rate that has steadily risen, even if the school itself doesn’t have the most stellar reputation or highest rankings.

Research (free) alternatives to public schools.

Themed charter schools (which receive public funding but operate outside of their regional public school districts) or magnet schools (public schools with specialized courses or curricula that draw students from across school districts or zones) infuse their offerings and activities with a specific emphasis.

At Expeditionary Learning schools (nationwide), for instance, students study a single topic from many angles. Heavy emphasis is placed on the importance of nature, reflection, and service, and classes can involve Outward Bound–style excursions.

The tuition-free Muskegon Montessori Academy for Environmental Change in Norton Shores, MI, drives home the importance of clean water by having students care for the local river.

Schools that take the multiple intelligences view recognize that intellect comes in many forms (e.g., word smart, people smart, numbers smart) and teach to individuals’ strengths.

Check out the ‘vibe’—it really means something.

This may seem obvious, but we can’t stress it enough: Go see the schools for yourself, and visit as many as possible. (By the way, did you know you can search for homes by school district on our app?) You might discover what you thought was important isn’t really at all. And test scores and state rankings don’t convey the important yet difficult-to-quantify vibe of a place.

“Actually experiencing a school is the best way to inspect the vitality of the work, the energy of the teachers, and the rapport between the staff and students,” says Szuflita.

One tip: Arrive early to the visit, so you can evaluate the school when no one is looking.

Ask yourself what ‘good’ means to you.

What do you want from your school? Racial and economic diversity? Sports and arts programs? A campus? Leadership/internship opportunities? Is your No. 1 criterion a neighborhood school that you can invest and create community in, even if it means sacrificing a few things like class size or an emphasis on the arts?

If traditional academics and high test scores really are the most important things, you’re lucky: Those are the easiest things to find.

Today, finding a good school means you grown-ups have to do serious homework, figuring out the best fit for your family and zeroing in on schools that are equipping students with the skills and experiences that will lead to a broader definition of success.

Anything else no longer makes the grade.

Contributed by Audrey Brashich
Audrey D. Brashich writes regularly about trending pop culture issues for The Washington Post, Yahoo Parenting and other national news outlets. She is also the author of All Made Up: A Girl’s Guide to Seeing Through Celebrity Hype and Celebrating Real Beauty.

Dog Days of Summer Heat Up

Today’s was our broker tour day where we typically run into several dozen agents as we view the new housing inventory—but not today. It’s eerily quiet in the market right now—like right before an earthquake quiet (without the dogs barking). Could it be that buyers have given up on finding a home?

The dog days of summer are upon us and the last heat wave conjured up that old saying in my mind. But not only are the constellations lining up and the days hotter, the housing market takes a noticeable siesta in August of each year.

When the economy is humming along—and in the Bay Area it is—people tend to take more vacations. And since REALTORS are people too, they also are gone much of the month. Of course you also have the last minute mini-trips and next thing you know school is about to start.

These stars line up to create a slowdown in the housing market—in terms of both lower inventory and sales.

Today’s tour consisted of 15 pages of new listings to view. That number can be double in the spring market.

So which home stood out today as our vote for best of tour?
Wellington Best of Tour

A San Carlos home on Wellington listed or only $998,000. Now we know you are thinking, “but it’ll never sell for that” and you’d probably be right—in fact I’d take that bet any day. But to even find a home listed under a million dollars west of El Camino is a real treat.

Now it’s not for everybody as it’s on a rather windy street and has a shared driveway and a small rear yard, but it’s a nice place to start if you want in on the west side of San Carlos. On the plus side it’s been nicely appointed and updated—our vote of best of tour—August 18, 2015

3 Bedrooms, 2 baths, 1,520 sqft.

Home Values have Finally Peaked?

With the latest Case-Shiller results in [they lag the market by three months], home values have finally peaked our trend-line of where we should be had the housing peak in 2006 and resulting crash in 2007 not surfaced. Our MSA is still not at an all-time high however, though it’s getting close.
What does this all mean if you are a homeowner? Your home is getting close to the all time high home values in history. Of course this MSA, or Metropolitan Statistical Area, is comprised of the 5 counties are San Francisco, Alameda, Marin, Contra Costa, and San Mateo County. Taking a broad swath like this tends to even out the peaks and troughs which can occur in localized economic swings, though during the last nationwide downturn all areas in our country were affected to some degree.

Case-Shiller June 2015
If you’re living on the San Francisco Peninsula corridor for example, the median home price has already eclipsed the highest point ever for home values.
Is now a good time to sell? Of course it is. Will there be a better time? Nobody really knows. Interest rates hikes have been looming over the market for two years now and increases are inevitable. Any sizable hike and buyers will have less purchasing power to compete, resulting in less bidding wars and lower offers.
If you are a buyer one can see that home values are on a steep upward trend, and unfortunately with the recent job figures being released the economy seems to be on the mend, not headed for a recession. That means that the home price trend should continue to rise, albeit at a slower but steady pace.

Disclaimer:

Drew & Christine Morgan are REALTORS/NOTARY PUBLIC in Belmont, CA. with more than 20 years’ experience in helping sellers and buyers in their community. They may be reached at (650) 508.1441 or emailed at info@morganhomes.com.

You can find them on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/Morganhomes and also find them on Twitter @ https://twitter.com/morganhomes

The information contained in this article is educational and intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute real estate, tax or legal advice, nor does it substitute for advice specific to your situation. Always consult an appropriate professional familiar with your scenario.

Belmont Homes Hit a New High

Notre Dame ExteriorBelmont homes hit a new high as our Best of Tour report for this week is being supplanted by the second highest price obtained (per square foot) for a home in Belmont—the highest being recorded less than a month ago in Sterling Downs.

One could argue that since the Sterling Downs home at 1,010 sqft was so small the price per square foot $1,262 record should be bested by the home on Notre Dame, a two bedroom two bath home of a modest 1,340 square feet in size. The lot is an unremarkable 5,340 square feet—just slightly above average. The home itself, a rather undistinguished but well-appointed home, yet nothing stands out as deserving the almost $1,200 dollar per square foot they received—nothing like solid gold appliances or whatever could possibly impress one enough to pay the $501,000 OVER the asking price (46% over asking). It was listed for $1,099,000 and sold for $1,600,000 in eight days.

Notre Dame YardBut then when we saw that the selling agent (representing the buyer) was from Woodside—one of the toniest town in America where homes have sold as high as $5,500 per square foot— it made more sense and it stands to reason that an out-of-area agent just might confuse the values in Woodside with that of Belmont.

 

Disclaimer:

Drew & Christine Morgan are REALTORS/NOTARY PUBLIC in Belmont, CA. with more than 20 years experience in helping sellers and buyers in their community. They may be reached at (650) 508.1441 or emailed at info@morganhomes.com.

You can find them on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/Morganhomes and also find them on Twitter @ https://twitter.com/morganhomes

The information contained in this article is educational and intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute real estate, tax or legal advice, nor does it substitute for advice specific to your situation. Always consult an appropriate professional familiar with your scenario. We did NOT sell this home.

Most Expensive Homes in America

One of the most expensive homes in America is a massive Beverly Hills, Calif., estate with its own entertainment complex, 27-car garage and vineyard has hit the market with a record breaking listing price of $195 million.Pazo

Called the Palazzo di Amore (or “Palace of Love”), the estate is enormous with 53,000 square feet of living space, 12 bedrooms and 23 bathrooms. The master suite alone — at 5,000 square feet — is bigger than most McMansions.

Imagine having to use a GPS locator to find your loved ones in this home.

On the 25-acre property, there’s a vineyard that produces 400 to 500 cases of syrah, cabernet, sauvignon blanc and other wines each year. There’s also a guest house, formal gardens, a spa and a 128-foot long reflecting pool.

Visitors arrive through one of three sets of double gates and drive a quarter mile to the front entrance, where they encounter an Italian-made fountain carved of Carrara marble.

Unlike Belmont, they can park pretty much anywhere. The estate has a 27-car garage and 150 additional parking spaces.Theater

The Palazzo di Amore was made for entertaining. Not only can it accommodate 1,000 guests, but it also boasts a 50-seat theater, a bowling alley and a game room. There’s also space to host a seated dinner for 250 guests. But who’s doing the dishes?

The ballroom is outfitted with laser lights, a DJ booth and a revolving dance floor. It also features a trompe l’oiel,          sky-dome ceiling with more clouds painted on it than the typical Southern Californian sees in a day. There’s also expansive views of West Side of Los Angeles, Century City and the ocean beyond.

Of course and respectable vineyarWine Roomd must have its own wine cellar and tasting room. This one has space for 3,500 bottles. If that’s not enough space, there’s a more utilitarian wine vault downstairs that holds 10,000 more bottles.—source CNN Money.

But don’t expect to get invited over for dinner anytime soon. The villa is rented out most of the time at a cool $475,000 per month. I wonder if that even covers the water bill?

 

 

 

 

Disclaimer:

Drew & Christine Morgan are REALTORS/NOTARY PUBLIC in Belmont, CA. with more than 20 years experience in helping sellers and buyers in their community. They may be reached at (650) 508.1441 or emailed at info@morganhomes.com.

You can find them on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/Morganhomes and also find them on Twitter @ https://twitter.com/morganhomes

The information contained in this article is educational and intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute real estate, tax or legal advice, nor does it substitute for advice specific to your situation. Always consult an appropriate professional familiar with your scenario.

 

Best of Tour for April 14th 2015

The definition of a mansion varies from person to person but we’re weighing in and calling this best of tour home in San Carlos so unique as to rise to the level.

Perched on the prestigious Hyde Park development with sweeping views of the surrounding canyons and San Francisco Bay, this stately home offers a plethora of elegant verandas and vistas to choose from.168 Queens Lane

Swank and extraordinary best describes this home and it comes with an equally extraordinary price tag for San Carlos where the average home sold this year for just over $1,400,000—yet there’s nothing average about this home. Listed by Coldwell Banker at a cool $4,988,000.

Click here for more images and details…

 

 

168 Queens Lane Kitchen

Veranda

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Disclaimer:

Drew & Christine Morgan are REALTORS/NOTARY PUBLIC in Belmont, CA. with more than 20 years experience in helping sellers and buyers in their community. They may be reached at (650) 508.1441 or emailed at info@morganhomes.com.

You can find them on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/Morganhomes and also find them on Twitter @ https://twitter.com/morganhomes

The information contained in this article is educational and intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute real estate, tax or legal advice, nor does it substitute for advice specific to your situation. Always consult an appropriate professional familiar with your scenario.

 

 

 

Housing Market Prices Halve

With the Autumnal Equinox just around the corner, we look back a great summer. Now to get caught up on the housing market since we’ve took some much needed time off.

On the national level…we gleam this insight from Standard and Poor’s website…

“Home price gains continue to ease as they have since last fall,” says David M. Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices. “For the first time since February 2008, all cities showed lower annual rates than the previous month. Other housing indicators – starts, existing home sales and builders’ sentiment – are positive. Taken together, these point to a more normal housing sector.

“The monthly National Index rose 0.9% in June. While all 20 cities saw higher home prices over the last 12 months, all experienced slower gains. In San Francisco, the pace of price increases halved since late last summer. The Sun Belt cities – Las Vegas, Phoenix, Miami and Tampa – all remain a third or more below their peak prices set almost a decade ago.

“Bargain basement mortgage rates won’t continue forever; recent improvements in the labor markets and comments from Fed chair Janet Yellen and others hint that interest rates could rise as soon as the first quarter of 2015. Rising mortgage rates won’t send housing into a tailspin, but will further dampen price gains.”

“All 20 cities used for the Case-Shiller report saw their year-over-year rates weaken in June. For the second consecutive month, San Francisco saw its rate decelerate by almost three percentage points – from 18.4% in April to 12.9% in June. Phoenix showed its smallest year-over-year gain of 6.9% since March 2012. Cleveland showed a marginal increase of 0.8% over the last 12 months while Las Vegas led with a gain of 15.2%. All cities reported price increases for the third consecutive month; it would have been a fourth had New York not declined 0.4% in March. San Francisco posted its eighth consecutive price increase but showed its smallest gain of 0.3% since February. Five cities – Detroit, Las Vegas, New York, Phoenix and San Diego – posted larger gains in June than in May. Dallas and Denver continue to set new peaks while Detroit remains the only city below its January 2000 value.”

Everybody wants to know when this crazy market will end.  People just can’t imagine that it will continue at this pace—and of course it won’t, and it didn’t and we’ve been predicating this all along; that the rate of appreciation would wane once home prices rebounded to levels which are sustainable.

The housing market dropped too far and filling that void happened very fast—essentially 2012 until now. We are now reaching new high home values and people are just plain being priced out—with fewer and fewer people who can afford the median price home.  But while the rate of appreciation is slowing, home values are continuing to rise, just at a much more sustainable and slower pace.

The San Francisco MSA (which consists of the counties of San Francisco, Marin, San Mateo, Contra Costa and Alameda), while experiencing a slowdown in the rate of appreciation (by almost half), nevertheless still enjoyed a 12.9% increase year-over-year.  You can see a graph we’ve put together of the SF MSA data points illustrating the trend over the past 27 years.

*Note—the Standard & Poor’s Index lags the market by three months.

The good news is a home won’t cost you 25% more next year, probably just around 10%. But who wants to pay a 10% penalty for waiting?

 

Disclaimer:

Drew & Christine Morgan are REALTORS/NOTARY PUBLIC in Belmont, CA. with more than 20 years experience in helping sellers and buyers in their community. They may be reached at (650) 508.1441 or emailed at info@morganhomes.com.

The information contained in this article is educational and intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute real estate, tax or legal advice, nor does it substitute for advice specific to your situation. Always consult an appropriate professional familiar with your scenario.

Home Value Increases Taper in July

July is a great month in Belmont as the wind winds down a bit in anticipation of our Indian summer.

We hope everyone had a great Fourth of July weekend and our slightly warmer than usual weekend.

If you are interested in the local microclimates in Belmont you can visit Weather Underground’s web site where folks like us upload our personal home weather station data. It’s interesting to see the various Belmont of micro-climate pockets.

On to the numbers…

[Click on the picture for a large view]
[Click on the picture for a large view]

 

Talk about low inventory–real estate has been very slow this week as you can imagine. Tuesday was our Broker tour day and there no new listings in Belmont or San Carlos to even view. We can’t remember the last time that happened.

In this post we visit the home sales in Belmont for the month of June 2014.

SALES

Sales of existing single family homes dropped 15% over last year from 26 sales to 22 this June.

 

 

 

 

MEDIAN PRICE

Belmont’s median home price rose almost 20% over June of last year. The size of homes selling in the two periods also dropped almost 10% from 1975 square feet in 2013 to 1778 square feet in 2014 which does nothing but exacerbate the median price increase since for 20% more you can now buy a home 10% smaller. At $1,099,000, though, it’s a steep drop from May’s astounding median price of $1,300,000. Of course the homes which sold in May were over 16% larger and the median price only dropped 8.4% so there’s still a paper net gain of 8%.

Compared to June of last year, single family residential median price levels rose in all counties with Santa Cruz County up 20%, Monterey County up 16%, San Mateo up 14%, San Benito up 15% and Santa Clara County up 12%.

DOM

The time it took to sell the average home in Belmont was 12 days—down from 14 last year.

OVER ASKING SALES

91% of the homes sold over asking in June of 2014 compared to 88% during the same time last year.

PERCENT RECEIVED OF ASKING

This is the one statistic that indicates a slowdown in the rate of market appreciation. In 2013 the average seller received 112% of their asking price. That dropped to 109% this month—exactly on par with last month.

What does this drop mean? It’s probably indicative of values getting closer to where they should be for now. The initial increase we have seen over the last two years was clearly unsustainable but also understandable.

Prices had dropped well below expected value levels and that deficit was easily wiped out in 2012 as the market began its rebound in earnest. In 2013 we saw the rebound continue into unchartered waters and prices hit a high watermark. This year we see more of the same but as prices continue to rise fewer people can qualify for the median priced home and begin to seek less expensive cities—watch out east bay.

Disclaimer:

Drew & Christine Morgan are REALTORS/NOTARY PUBLIC in Belmont, CA. with more than 20 years experience in helping sellers and buyers in their community. They may be reached at (650) 508.1441 or emailed at info@morganhomes.com.

 

The information contained in this article is educational and intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute real estate, tax or legal advice, nor does it substitute for advice specific to your situation. Always consult an appropriate professional familiar with your scenario.

 

Drew & Christine Morgan did not necessarily participate in these sales.

 

Home Values Peaked?

Have Belmont home values we peaked for the year?

Our spring housing market always makes for exciting times—it sort of sets the pace for the year.

Typically we see prices jump the most in the spring and level off around summer. Despite the rumblings that our market is cooling off, this year appears to be no different than we’ve experienced in past trends. Any perceived “cooling off” is expressed in the rate of increases waning, and compounded by seasonal fluctuations.

In the graph below we plotted the percent a seller received of their initial asking price since 2012 when the market rebound began in earnest. This is a good indicator of the level of competition in the market. Notice how our local market competition increases most in the spring and price increases follow suit. Why is that? We have a few intrinsic theories and if you’d like the inside scoop here are our musings.

! Belmont Peaks

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
SCHOOLS

First there’s the school enrollment calendar. In Belmont that opens in February and ends in June. Of course getting your child into your preferred school means hitting the initial enrollment period—or at least the second one. We believe the school enrollment calendar tends to influence a buyers decision to act quickly in the spring market. HINT: You cannot enroll your child in the Belmont/Redwood Shores School District without proof of residency.

School Enrollment Period Belmont

 

 

 

 

WEATHER

Another influencing factors is that the weather improves in the spring. Buyers and sellers come out of winter hibernation and the better the weather the sooner they do so. And more buyers means more competition while inventory remains low until school ends in June. Over 65% of all new listings are listed in quarters 2&3—April through September.

COMPETITIVE SPIRIT

Let’s face it, not only are home buyers competing for great jobs they compete at the home buying game as well—and they hate to lose.

Indulge us for a moment—Imagine there are six horses racing that are competing for first place in a race. But after each race the 1st place winner must retire. This leaves the second place horse the favorite in the next race, and all things being equal he now takes 1st place and then also retires—but the finish times are getting slower. Now the 3rd place horse in the first race, is the 1st place horse in the third race but he’s clearly not as fast as the first horse was in the first race—but he still wins—and retires.

You see the home buying and bidding process follows a lot along these lines. The most aggressive bidders typically wins and get their home—now they’re out of the competition. The buyer who came in second now steps to the plate and secures the next home—and he probably bids even more than he bid the last time when he lost. This pushes the prices up and eliminates the aggressive bidders. By summer the remaining bidders are typically far less aggressive and more risk adverse so they bid less and homes close for a smaller amount over the seller’s asking price.

But that begs the question, “Why not just wait until after the bidding wars wane to put in an offer?”

Because prices are going up about $500 q day and the longer one waits the more that same house will cost. Note that as seen in the above graph, the percent a seller receives is greater in the spring while the median home price does not follow any similar plot—except up.

We’ve seen this year in and year out and yet each year we hear people deliberating on the perceived slowdown as a shift in the market, rather than a well-defined pattern repeating itself.

Click here to see our analysis for May of 2014 where we compare it to April’s numbers and every May going back to 2012 when the market took a marked uptick—is the housing market slowing down? See for yourself…

 

Disclaimer:

Drew & Christine Morgan are REALTORS/NOTARY PUBLIC in Belmont, CA. with more than 20 years experience in helping sellers and buyers in their community. They may be reached at (650) 508.1441 or emailed at info@morganhomes.com.

The information contained in this article is educational and intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute real estate, tax or legal advice, nor does it substitute for advice specific to your situation. Always consult an appropriate professional familiar with your scenario.

 

Housing Market Free Fall?

How Can You Tell When The Housing Market Has Changed?

You look at the numbers.

Agents are a funny lot. Their perspective of the housing market around them has a lot to do with how busy they are at the moment—how many listings they have (or don’t) or how many times they’ve recently been beat in a multiple offer situation.

On broker tour day where we try and see all of the new listings in one fell swoop and we can’t help but bump in to our colleagues during tour. Actually a lot of important networking goes on during our tour, but along with the hope of discovering a “coming soon” treasure, is the hyperbole about the state of the market. It varies dramatically from agent to agent and house to house as we make our way up and down the peninsula.

When an agent’s listing lingers on the market too long they often blame it on “a slowdown in the market”, rather than try and figure out if they did something wrong or the seller overpriced their home. And of course if one of their listings recently flew off the shelf, a slowdown in the farthest thing from their mind.

And when seasonal fluctuations, which are otherwise easily predictable take hold, many agents are in a tizzy that the market has finally topped (or bottomed) out.

When we hear this wild conjecture it’s in at least my nature to go back and do some research to see what the real pulse is of the market.

So here’s how the patient was doing at the end of May 2014 for Belmont:

Belmont May 2014

 

[DARK GREY HIGHLIGHT INDICATES OUR LISTING]

SALES

The number of homes which sold in Belmont during May of 2014 were 19—down from 32 a year ago. So what happened? Well as it turns out May of 2013 was one crazy anomaly as also seen in 2010. Homes sales in Belmont have averaged 24 sales per the month of May since 1998. But in our current market, homes sales are down because new listings are down, not because people are afraid to buy a home.

SALES May 2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NEW LISTINGS

While the number of new listings dropped from 35 last May to 31 this year, the 16-year average is 37 new listing per month in May.

New Listings

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

DOM [Days on Market]

This unremarkable statistic remained essentially unchanged at 11 days in May of 2013 to 12 days in 2014.

MEDIAN HOME PRICE

The Median home price in Belmont for May 2014 was $1,300,000 which bought one a median size 2,070 Sqft home. This May saw an increase over 2013 of 17% [raw numbers]. Of course the homes which sold this year were 8.6% larger so the real median home price increase was probably closer to 8.4% year-over-year. And if you use the actual square foot calculation model for adjustment that whacks it down even further to a 7.6 realized increase year-over-year. So the rate of home price increases appear to be slowing.

Median May

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PRICE REDUCTIONS?

Only two sellers had to lower their price before their home sold which is exactly twice as many as last year.

PERCENT RECEIVED of ASKING

110% in 2013 to 111% in 2014. The all-time high was 115% over asking in April the month before.

Percent Received of Asking is probably the statistic most aligned with defining a hot or cold market so we track this number closely—though there’s one inherent flaw in reading too much into this and the median home price changes. Here’s why…

As prices increase fewer and fewer people have the wherewithal to purchase a home at all, let alone throw an extra $100,000 over the asking price.  Couple that with the recent housing rebound out of a historic slump, and one can see that in the initial rebound years, the median price trend skyrocketed along with the percent seller’s received over asking until the home values breached new high territory. Hence we end up with statistics demonstrating the rate of appreciation slowing and the amount buyers can afford to go over asking waning. In all respects one could call that a slowdown, but being hit by a train going 50 mph rather than 100 still smarts.

percent received May 2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

How the Numbers Rolled

In May 2014 85% of the sellers received over their asking price—down from 88% last May and 14% received less than asking in 2014 as compared to 12% in 2013. None of the homes in either year sold at the seller’s asking price.

 

Disclaimer:

Drew & Christine Morgan are REALTORS/NOTARY PUBLIC in Belmont, CA. with more than 20 years experience in helping sellers and buyers in their community. They may be reached at (650) 508.1441 or emailed at info@morganhomes.com.

The information contained in this article is educational and intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute real estate, tax or legal advice, nor does it substitute for advice specific to your situation. Always consult an appropriate professional familiar with your scenario.