Don’t Wait—Beat the Crowds and Buy This Winter

Don’t Wait—Beat the Crowds and Buy This Winter

snow-globe-house

We’ve been saying this for years, the best time to buy a home is when it’s not the best time to sell–and the statistics back us up. But we’re not telling you anything you shouldn’t already know. However, there’s even more compelling reasons this year, with the much ballyhooed talk about interest rate hikes.

Now that the U.S. has regained its job-creation mojo, as the October employment report showed, the demand for housing is only going to grow.

After all, when people have jobs they can break off and form new households—ditching the roommates behind or finally moving out of Mom and Dad’s basement—and that’s what fundamentally drives home purchases.

Most of the households created over the past two years have been renting households, but based on U.S. Census data for the third quarter of this year, it appears that homeownership has started to recover.

This especially makes sense now that it is cheaper to own than rent in more than three-quarters of the counties in the U.S. And it’s not getting better— rents are rising year over year at twice the pace of listing prices. Meanwhile, mortgage rates remain at near record lows but appear poised to increase over the next year. And home prices are rising, too.

So if you qualify for a mortgage and have the funds for a down payment and closing costs—and if you intend to live in a home long enough to cover the transaction costs of buying and selling—you will be better off financially if you buy as soon as you can. After all, if you are tired of your current home now, you won’t feel better about it in six months.

The top factors driving home shoppers this summer were pent-up demand and recognition of favorable mortgage rates and home prices. These drivers will likely remain well into next year.

Yet demand for housing is extremely seasonal. In most markets in the country, we are conditioned to believe that we should buy homes in the spring and summer. So come each October, plans to purchase shift to the spring. While the school calendar and weather do influence the ideal time to move, many buyers would benefit from buying this fall and winter rather than waiting until next spring.

In October, the percentage of would-be buyers on realtor.com® saying that they intend to buy in seven to 12 months was the highest it has been all year and represented the largest time frame for purchase. Likewise, October produced the lowest percentage of would-be buyers saying they intend to buy in the next three months.

In other words, people’s stated plans point to a very strong spring for home sales. Great, right? But here’s the problem: Inventory isn’t likely to be higher in March and April than it is now. And while inventory should grow in late spring and into summer, it won’t grow as fast as the seasonal demand.

So, if you are ready, consider getting in the market now instead of early spring. You will have more choices and less competition, and you can lock in today’s rates rather than risk rates being 25 to 50 basis points higher. (A basis point is 0.01 percentage point.)

A 50 basis-point increase in rates (for example, from 4.05% to 4.55%) would cause monthly payments to be 6% higher. And that increase would not only affect your monthly cash flow but could also affect your ability to qualify.

So if you are considering buying a home this spring, it’s worth exploring the inventory now and reaching out to a local Realtor®. A new home could be the best gift you give yourself and your family this holiday season.

And if you are considering a move, we’re ready to help you make a good decision.

Drew & Christine Morgan are REALTORS/NOTARY PUBLIC in Belmont, CA. with more than 20 years experience in helping sellers and buyers in their community. They may be reached at (650) 508.1441 or emailed at info@morganhomes.com.

You can find them on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/Morganhomes and also find them on Twitter @ https://twitter.com/morganhomes

 

The information contained in this article is educational and intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute real estate, tax or legal advice, nor does it substitute for advice specific to your situation. Always consult an appropriate professional familiar with your scenario.

Belmont Home Sales Drop, But Values Rise

Any way you slice this month’s statistics for Belmont home sales, seller’s really made out this October.

October is historically not a great month for home sales, but in recent years with warmer fall weather, it’s been possible to market homes well into the winter months.

Let’s look at the numbers for October 2015…

Belmont Home Sales October 2015
Belmont Home Sales October 2015-Click on the image to enlarge.

 

SALES

Belmont home sales (the number of homes sold), was down 24% year-over-year; down from 21 in 2014, to 16 in 2015. A 24% drop seems like a lot, until you realize only five less homes sold.

MEDIAN HOME PRICE

Belmont’s median home price rose 19% over last October, and was up considerably from the prior month of September.

The median home price in Belmont now stands at $1,546,500. To put that large number into perspective, it has only been surpassed twice before—both times earlier in this year—in May, and again last June. The all-time peak for Belmont’s home values occurred in June of 2015 when we reached a median home price of $1,629,000. Does this mean Belmont home values have peaked? Perhaps. The homes that closed escrow back in June sold for 5.3% more than now, and yet were 6.7% smaller. We’re going to temper that statement with the statistic that the summer price peak to October fall-off has occurred in six of the last eight years.

PRICE PER SQUARE FOOT

This is a check and balance against the median home price. If much larger homes sell during a given period, the median home price will typically yield a larger number as well, while the price per square feet which homes sell for will drop. It’s a quirky inverse relationship that manifests itself since larger homes tend to sell for less per square foot. This happens because land is not involved in the square foot equation,  and can frequently account for up to 50% of a home’s value.

For example, homes which sold in October of last year, were 2,000 sqft in size, compare to 1,905 sqft this year. They sold for $707 per sqft as compared to $877 this October, while the lot sizes remained fairly constant. This means that the median price for homes went up in real dollars—not just that larger homes sold this October.

DAYS ON THE MARKET (DOM)

In both years, it took on average only 18 days to sell a home.

PRICE REDUCTIONS

In 2014, 14% of Belmont home sellers had to lower their asking price. In 2015 that number dropped to .6%–just over one-half of one percent.

OVER-ASKING OFFERS

In 2014 66% of Belmont homes sold for more than the seller’s asking price—this October that number went up to 87%.

The number of homes which sold at the seller’s asking price represented 14% of all sales in 2014 and none in 2015, while the homes which sold under the asking price dropped from 20% in 2014, to only 13% in 2015.

PERCENT RECEIVED

Of the homes which sold in Belmont this October, the seller’s received 109.5% of their asking price, contrasted to last October when they received 107.5.

As you can see Belmont housing market fared extremely well this October.

We are now into the ninth year of economic recovery, and the fourth year of the median home price increasing steadily in Belmont. The question we are being asked by many buyers is “are we at the peak”? This uncertainty in the market can cause buyers to hesitate and sit on the sidelines to wait for the next downturn. If that happens it could be a self-fulfilling prophecy.

We’re not saying that we believe we’re there yet, but one thing is certain, home values are at an all-time high and we won’t stay there forever.

Disclaimer:

Drew & Christine Morgan are REALTORS/NOTARY PUBLIC in Belmont, CA. with more than 20 years’ experience in helping sellers and buyers in their community. They may be reached at (650) 508.1441 or emailed at info@morganhomes.com.

You can find them on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/Morganhomes and also find them on Twitter @ https://twitter.com/morganhomes

The information contained in this article is educational and intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute real estate, tax or legal advice, nor does it substitute for advice specific to your situation. Always consult an appropriate professional familiar with your scenario.

 

Uncertainty in the Housing Market

October brings to mind images of Jack-O’-Lanterns, will-o’-the-wisps, spider webs, creative costume expressions on All Hallows Eve, and the gentle stir of leaves falling from the trees. But there’s more rustling around in the wind than dry leaves right now—it’s the sound of uncertainty in the housing market. Are we headed for a crash? Or is the market still in a Bull Run phase?

We’re getting asked a lot about what we think is going on, as there’s a lot of uncertainty in the housing market. Whenever there’s a perceived slow down, it gives cause for questioning the market conditions. We think those concerns might be a little premature.

But people should be skeptical. The housing market did-in a lot of people during the great Recession and they’d be foolish not to be concerned about being in a better position for the next downturn.

So we hope that our small window of analysis will help you sleep better, at least if you live on the mid-Peninsula—the sweet spot of our market and where we focus our energy.

Belmont September 2015

Belmont–September 2015. Data from the MLS of SMC. Click on the picture for a larger image.

These are the statistics for several of the cities we watch carefully.

San Carlos—Median Price was up 11.6% year-over-year this September. Down from 14% YOY (Year-Over-Year) from 2013-2014 so a bit of a slow down there. Seller’s received 5% more over asking though.

Belmont—Median price rose 12.5 % since last September, up from just 2% YOY (a year earlier) (we discount this as an anomaly of small numbers). Sellers are still getting 107% of asking price—same as last September.

San Mateo—Median Price went up 12.8% YOY, down from a 27% increase in 2013-2014. Sellers are getting 1% more over asking this year than last.

Hillsborough—Median price fell 6% YOY in 2015, down from a 26% increase in 2013-2014. Sellers got slightly more over asking—97% last year as compared to 101% this year.

San Mateo County-This is a good indicator of the overall market conditions since it includes so many cities and a lot of data points. But it can also be somewhat misleading. For example, when prices are skyrocketing in Menlo Park, San Carlos and Belmont early in a recovery phase, Daly City, San Bruno and South San Francisco are typically still foundering. Yet when the top three start to peak in terms of price, buyers flood these less expensive areas and cause the overall increase in the median home price to appear to be climbing, when in your city it may be stalling.

Think of the San Mateo Median home price like a “composite index” if you will. It rose 12.1% YOY since last September, and seller’s received 3% more of their asking price. Last year it gained 18% and in 2012-2103 it rose 16.3%–that’s coming off a 21% increase from 2011-2102.

Let’s hope it calms down even more in 2016. A more sustainable recovery always lasts longer.

NOTE:–As always you can view these graphs on our web page.

Disclaimer:

Drew & Christine Morgan are REALTORS/NOTARY PUBLIC in Belmont, CA. with more than 20 years experience in helping sellers and buyers in their community. They may be reached at (650) 508.1441 or emailed at info@morganhomes.com.

You can find them on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/Morganhomes and also find them on Twitter @ https://twitter.com/morganhomes

The information contained in this article is educational and intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute real estate, tax or legal advice, nor does it substitute for advice specific to your situation. Always consult an appropriate professional familiar with your scenario.

When is the Best Time to Sell My Home?

When is the best time to sell my home is perhaps one of the top five questions we are frequently asked. On my desk I have a crystal ball—literally. And often when I am asked to venture a guesstimate as to how the real estate market will perform, I simply stare down at the glass orb until my clients’ eyes follow mine to my point of fixation, and they realize their question was really impossible for me to answer with any certainty.

If you’re read our blog page, you know I love to look at the numbers—how much have homes have gone up, what percent sellers are receiving of asking, etc.

These numbers don’t really tell me what will happen—they’re historical numbers so they only tell me what did happen. But before we get started, no decent look at the market would be worth anything if we didn’t first explain our thought process and methodology.

In assigning probabilities, there are two common to employ. Frequency based probabilities, which rely and past data points to lend credibility to predicting a future event, and subjective probabilities based upon our belief that something will or will not occur.

Of course the belief or subjective probability approach at first glance appears just as the name infers—that it’s too subjective. However it’s actually quite important, and you probably use this approach more often than you do frequency based analysis when conducting your day-to-day assessment of say, whether or not you think the price of gas will be lower next week to decide if you want to wait to fill up then.

What about when we use both approaches, or aren’t sure which one is more appropriate for a given situation? Refinancing your home is a good example. Today’s question might be, “Will rates go lower than they are today, or will they soon rise to more historical levels?”. Here we might use frequency based analysis to look at the historical trend of mortgage rates and see where they are today in relation to average historical rates. Seeing how they are near the bottom of where rates have been over the last 30 years, one might conclude that they have nowhere to go but up, yet once again they dropped this October even after the Fed’s all but promised a rate hike—because things change.

One of the problems inherent in using only frequency based analysis is that there’s a trade-off between accuracy of the information (having enough data points) and relevancy (how old is the data). Going back further and plotting more data points is certainly going to give us more information to evaluate, but the relevancy begins to drop off as we got too far back in time, when say our economy was in a different state— pre-internet for example.

So it is with these probability approaches in mind that we deliver to you our trend for the percent a seller receives of their asking price–each month of the year, over the past 17 years. Glancing at the graph one can easily see that spring appears to be the best point at which sellers get the highest percentage of their asking price. Note: the months tagged in the graph above the line are the months in that year where the seller received the highest percentage of their asking, while the red numbers below the line illustrate the month in each year where the seller received the least percent of their asking price. **clicking on these graphs will bring up an enlarged image.Best Time To Sell A Home

These are the percentages of frequency in occurrence where each one has an 8.3% (1/12) equal chance of homes selling either over or under the asking price in a given month.Best Months

May is a clear winner as to when reported sales of homes showed that sellers obtained the highest percent over their asking price—statistically. Since most of May’s homes probably sold in April, it’s more likely that the sale actually was consummated in April with a typical 30 day list to close time frame.

The problem with probabilities based solely upon past performance is that things can change quickly. Governments can topple or be overthrown sending the world into economic panic, external natural effects such as tornados, tidal waves, droughts, El Nino events, etc. can all contribute to altering selling and buying patterns. For example, October never shows up as a month where the least amount a seller received occurred, except for in 2001, after the September 11th terrorist’s attacks.

Also interesting to note is that if one breaks down this graph into pre-Deep Recession and Post Recovery periods there’s much less of a clear distinction as to which month is consistently a winner—or loser. An important and fair distinction should also be made in relying solely upon the percent a seller receives of asking as a definitive demarcation as to when selling your home is optimal. Sellers could be pricing their homes lower in the spring than they do later in the year, when new higher price levels have already been achieved. So measuring how much the seller received in real dollars is actually more important, but doing so involves tracking the median price trend which is easily influenced by relatively small market samples when larger or smaller homes sell in a given month. Tracking the price per square foot per month would help add more information into the mix, but that is susceptible to errors when homes with larger or smaller lots are involved.

And to throw the final wrench into the works, one must remember that during these 17 years there have been two recessions, and a lot of variance of interest rates and various government stimulus packages which have influenced people’s personal behaviors one month over another, not to mention El Nino’s and droughts which also have affected buying and selling patterns.

We hope this has helped further the cause of trying to turn the uncertainty of when to sell your home into a measurable risk. But remember, as Mark Twain is attributed to having once said, “History doesn’t repeat itself, but it does rhyme”.

 

 

Drew & Christine Morgan are REALTORS/NOTARY PUBLIC in Belmont, CA. with more than 20 years experience in helping sellers and buyers in their community. They may be reached at (650) 508.1441 or emailed at info@morganhomes.com.

You can find them on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/Morganhomes and also find them on Twitter @ https://twitter.com/morganhomes

 

The information contained in this article is educational and intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute real estate, tax or legal advice, nor does it substitute for advice specific to your situation. Always consult an appropriate professional familiar with your scenario.

 

 

Best of Tour Home Search for 10/13/2015

After a break away from touring the past few weeks it was good to get back out and see what new homes are available. We’ve noticed a slight cooling of the market which isn’t all that uncharacteristic of a fall market but this year seems slower than normal–it’s still early in the quarter though.

This is our best of tour home for Belmont and San Carlos today.

Belmont

This home on Lincoln Avenue is a real fixer upper but the potential is written all over the blueprints.

Situated on a large 12,700+ sqft lot according to the agent, all it needs is a renovation to make this home worth $2,000,000.Lincoln

SAN CARLOS

6 Pepper Lane in San Carlos is on the opposite end of the spectrum. This move-in condition home is ideal for a large household with 5 bedrooms, four full baths and 3,113 sqft of living space. Great sunset and twilight views as well as plenty of room for entertaining. Listed with our good friends Teri and Kristina.6 Pepper

10/15/2015 4:30PM-6:30PM

10/17/2015 1:00PM-3:00PM

10/18/2015 1:00PM-3:00PM

Call us if you are interested in either of these two unique opportunities…650-508-1441

 

Disclaimer:

Drew & Christine Morgan are REALTORS/NOTARY PUBLIC in Belmont, CA. with more than 20 years experience in helping sellers and buyers in their community. They may be reached at (650) 508.1441 or emailed at info@morganhomes.com.

You can find them on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/Morganhomes and also find them on Twitter @ https://twitter.com/morganhomes

The information contained in this article is educational and intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute real estate, tax or legal advice, nor does it substitute for advice specific to your situation. Always consult an appropriate professional familiar with your scenario.

 

How to Buy a New Home and Keep Your Tax Base

How to Buy a New Home and Keep Your Tax Base. If you’ve thought of moving but are frightened at the prospect of a property tax increase we have a few propositions for you—60, 90 and 110. You may already be aware of these but we have some new information which might make them more attractive.

Most homeowner’s are keenly aware that buying a new home means having their property tax base increased to 1% of the purchase price. For those of you who have owned a home for many years this alone can make a move financially impossible; for many, it means they couldn’t afford to buy the home they already own.

A BRIEF HISTORY

Proposition 60 enacted into law in 1986 allowed for the one-time transfer of your current home’s tax base to a replacement property of equal or lesser value after the age of 55 of either spouse, providing that the replacement property was located within the same county.

Proposition 90 passed by the legislature in 1989 allowed counties to voluntarily extend the transfer into their county to all 58 California Counties.

Proposition 110 passed in 1996 extends this relief to permanently disabled people, whether 55 or not.

The problem for most people wishing to benefit from this tax base transfer is they are limited to moving within the county in which they currently reside, or moving to one of only a handful of reciprocal counties (Alameda, Los Angeles, Orange, San Diego, Ventura, San Mateo, and Santa Clara).

Fortunately, another very desirable county in the Sierra foothills was added to the list—El Dorado. Their legislature passed a resolution into law on December 10th 2009 taking effect February 15th of 2010 allowing anyone in the 58 California counties to transfer their tax base to El Dorado County.

There are rules you must follow or your transfer will be denied so before you consider a move you will want to read several of the helpful publications which exist, and/or consult with your tax or legal advisor. The State Board of Equalization offers some easy to understand  “Question and Answer” publications as well as a pdf containing many test case scenarios, but here’s a brief summary:

The market value of the replacement principal residence must be equal to or less than 100 percent of the full cash value of the original property as of the date of sale, assuming the replacement dwelling is purchased prior to the date of sale of the original property. That number is increased to 105 percent of the full cash value if the replacement dwelling is purchased within the first year following the date of the sale of the original property, or 110 percent of the full cash value of the original property if the replacement dwelling is purchased within the second year following the date of the sale.

If you’ve been holding back on making a move to retain your home’s current tax base it’s nice to know you now have some great options. And if you’re not familiar with this Gold Rush era county, you owe it to yourself to check it out.

There are many cities within El Dorado County which offer a great quality with life. Located around Folsom Lake with its various water activities (when the lake has water), El Dorado County extends all of the way north to South Lake Tahoe. The many towns in between including Placerville,  offer affordable housing options—from award winning retirement communities to cities catering to the first time buyer and neighborhoods that rival homes the Peninsula has to offer—including Hillsborough—all at a fraction of what it costs to live in the Bay Area.

Visit the on-line version of this newsletter at MorganHomes.com and use the underlined links in this article to read more.  If you are not comfortable with the internet, simply give us a call and we’ll mail you out some more information or schedule a time with us for a short visit to discuss these opportunities.

 

Disclaimer:

Drew & Christine Morgan are REALTORS/NOTARY PUBLIC in Belmont, CA. with more than 20 years experience in helping sellers and buyers in their community. They may be reached at (650) 508.1441.

The information contained in this article is educational and intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute real estate, tax or legal advice, nor does it substitute for advice specific to your situation. Always consult an appropriate professional familiar with your scenario.

Home Sales Flat for Belmont

Home sales were flat for Belmont, but home values still seem to to be reaching new highs. Belmont’s housing market is in its typical summer slumber with agents and their clients taking well deserved vacations. We hope you are enjoying a getaway soon as well.

With summer in full swing, we take step back and review Belmont’s single family housing market for June 2015.

Belmont Home Sales
Belmont Home Sales-June 2015

SALES

19 single family homes closed during the month of June while last year there were 22—a number which is relatively insignificant except to note that all indications are inventory is not increasing yet. When inventory increases, prices flatten out so we’re keeping a close watch on that.

CURRENT INVENTORY

This June our inventory of single family homes available for purchase was seven—last June there were 22 to choose from. The month’s supply of homes—the time it would take to deplete all of the available listings at the current rate of sales dropped from one month of inventory in 2014 to .35 this June. Anything below six months indicates a seller’s market. Currently, the national inventory of homes stands at around 5.6 months.

MEDIAN PRICE

The median price last June in Belmont was $1,075,000 and this June it was $1,400,000–$325,000 higher or an increase of around 30%. That’s what you will hear in the media and that’s what gets reported and passed along at the water cooler.

But the homes which sold this June were larger by 28%. So did the market only go up by 2%? Not really, the math isn’t a straight line calculation like that. But what it hints to is that values aren’t increasing as much as the raw statistics might lead one to believe. In fact the size of homes sold in the two periods are so dissimilar that it’s hard to draw a definitive conclusion by staring at numbers.

The variance in the size of homes in the two period works out to 502 sqft. At the 2014 rate of $712 per square foot that represents $358,000 which we could subtract from the deltas in the two years media home price of $325,000 to reach an adjusted median price slightly less than 2014. Same conclusion.

The only wrench is that larger homes always sell for less per square foot (since the land they sit upon is a constant and not taken into consideration). But while the size of the homes in 2015 were 28% larger, they still sold for a higher price per square foot, $901 in 2015 vs only $712 in 2014. So were the lots that much larger in 2015? Not really. In both years the lots the homes were on were about the same size.

There is unfortunately, no escaping that this year a single family home in Belmont cost a buyer $189.00 more per square foot—or a 26% increase over last June.

As for how competitive the market is—homes last June sold over the seller’s asking price by on average 9%. This June they sold at an average 19% over asking. Tough to be a buyer right now, or a buyer’s agent for that matter–while all of the sellers we work with are elated.

 

Disclaimer:

Drew & Christine Morgan are REALTORS/NOTARY PUBLIC in Belmont, CA. with more than 20 years’ experience in helping sellers and buyers in their community. They may be reached at (650) 508.1441 or emailed at info@morganhomes.com.

You can find them on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/Morganhomes and also find them on Twitter @ https://twitter.com/morganhomes

The information contained in this article is educational and intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute real estate, tax or legal advice, nor does it substitute for advice specific to your situation. Always consult an appropriate professional familiar with your scenario.

 

 

 

How to Avoid Capital Gain When Selling Your Home

 

Before we pass along any information regarding third-party tax information, we are required by the Bureau of Real Estate to disclose that we are not offering any tax advice as we are not licensed to do so.

That said. We’re passing along information which we are aware of from others, that may be beneficial to those seeking to defer or eliminate their Tax Reliefcapital gain tax on the sale of real property.

Here are several vehicles we have seen implemented to effect this outcome.

#1 PRIMARY RESIDENCE EXCLUSION

You probably already know that if you sell your home you may exclude up to $250,000 of your capital gain from tax. For married couples filing jointly, the exclusion is $500,000. Also, unmarried people who jointly own a home and separately meet the IRS threshold tests can each exclude up to $250,000.

The law applies to sales after May 6, 1997. To claim the whole exclusion, you must have owned and lived in your home as your principal residence an aggregate of at least two of the five years before the sale (this is called the ownership and use test). You can claim the exclusion once every two years.

This is why families who stay in the same home for decades suffer a greater tax that more mobile families avoid by moving each time they approach the $500,000 capital gain threshold.

So what happens if you’ve already exceeded the $500,000 exclusion limit on your primary residence? Here are two ways to defer or avoid the excess gain you may realize.

#2 STARKER 1031 EXCHANGE

The 1031 Exchange, or “Starker Exchange” named after the Defendant in a lawsuit with the IRS, Starker v. United States, which was overturned by the appellate court and ruled in favor of Mr. Starker. This case law was later reeled in a bit by Congress after the IRS defeat, but in the end it allows one to sell one property and invest in another “like” property and avoid paying capital gains. Of course there are many rules one must follow such as the replacement property must cost at least $1.00 more than the one you sold and you only have 45 days to identify a replacement property and 180 days to close escrow. There’s an intermediary company that must be in constructive receipt of the funds after the first property is sold as to avoid realizing the gain, but those are details that an exchange company will gladly guide you through.

But what if you don’t want to exchange into a “like” property? Then this next Deferred Sale Trust arrangement is an excellent option.

#3 Deferred Sale Trust

There’s also what is referred to as a Deferred Sale Trust. Essentially, the process starts when a property owner sells its property to a trust owned by a third party company. The trust sells the property or stock. Next, the trust “pays” you. The payment isn’t in cash, but with a payment contract called an “installment contract.” The contract promises to make payments to you over an agreed period of time. There are zero taxes to the trust on the sale since the trust “purchased” the property from you for what it sold it for. The payment is made with an installment contract which makes payments to you over an agreed period of time.

Knowing how to use these opportunities to your benefit can make a difference in your estate planning—especially on the Peninsula where our home values increase so rapidly and the $500,000 gain relief threshold can be reached in a matter of a few years.

If you have questions for the author, Drew Morgan, you may reach him at 650-590-4525 or email info@morganhomes.com.

Disclaimer:

Drew & Christine Morgan are REALTORS/NOTARY PUBLIC in Belmont, CA. with more than 25 years experience in helping sellers and buyers in their community. They may be reached at (650) 508.1441 or emailed at info@morganhomes.com.

You can find them on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/Morganhomes and also find them on Twitter @ https://twitter.com/morganhomes

The information contained in this article is educational and intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute real estate, tax or legal advice, nor does it substitute for advice specific to your situation. Always consult an appropriate professional familiar with your scenario.

 

Home Values have Finally Peaked?

With the latest Case-Shiller results in [they lag the market by three months], home values have finally peaked our trend-line of where we should be had the housing peak in 2006 and resulting crash in 2007 not surfaced. Our MSA is still not at an all-time high however, though it’s getting close.
What does this all mean if you are a homeowner? Your home is getting close to the all time high home values in history. Of course this MSA, or Metropolitan Statistical Area, is comprised of the 5 counties are San Francisco, Alameda, Marin, Contra Costa, and San Mateo County. Taking a broad swath like this tends to even out the peaks and troughs which can occur in localized economic swings, though during the last nationwide downturn all areas in our country were affected to some degree.

Case-Shiller June 2015
If you’re living on the San Francisco Peninsula corridor for example, the median home price has already eclipsed the highest point ever for home values.
Is now a good time to sell? Of course it is. Will there be a better time? Nobody really knows. Interest rates hikes have been looming over the market for two years now and increases are inevitable. Any sizable hike and buyers will have less purchasing power to compete, resulting in less bidding wars and lower offers.
If you are a buyer one can see that home values are on a steep upward trend, and unfortunately with the recent job figures being released the economy seems to be on the mend, not headed for a recession. That means that the home price trend should continue to rise, albeit at a slower but steady pace.

Disclaimer:

Drew & Christine Morgan are REALTORS/NOTARY PUBLIC in Belmont, CA. with more than 20 years’ experience in helping sellers and buyers in their community. They may be reached at (650) 508.1441 or emailed at info@morganhomes.com.

You can find them on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/Morganhomes and also find them on Twitter @ https://twitter.com/morganhomes

The information contained in this article is educational and intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute real estate, tax or legal advice, nor does it substitute for advice specific to your situation. Always consult an appropriate professional familiar with your scenario.

Most Expensive Homes in America

One of the most expensive homes in America is a massive Beverly Hills, Calif., estate with its own entertainment complex, 27-car garage and vineyard has hit the market with a record breaking listing price of $195 million.Pazo

Called the Palazzo di Amore (or “Palace of Love”), the estate is enormous with 53,000 square feet of living space, 12 bedrooms and 23 bathrooms. The master suite alone — at 5,000 square feet — is bigger than most McMansions.

Imagine having to use a GPS locator to find your loved ones in this home.

On the 25-acre property, there’s a vineyard that produces 400 to 500 cases of syrah, cabernet, sauvignon blanc and other wines each year. There’s also a guest house, formal gardens, a spa and a 128-foot long reflecting pool.

Visitors arrive through one of three sets of double gates and drive a quarter mile to the front entrance, where they encounter an Italian-made fountain carved of Carrara marble.

Unlike Belmont, they can park pretty much anywhere. The estate has a 27-car garage and 150 additional parking spaces.Theater

The Palazzo di Amore was made for entertaining. Not only can it accommodate 1,000 guests, but it also boasts a 50-seat theater, a bowling alley and a game room. There’s also space to host a seated dinner for 250 guests. But who’s doing the dishes?

The ballroom is outfitted with laser lights, a DJ booth and a revolving dance floor. It also features a trompe l’oiel,          sky-dome ceiling with more clouds painted on it than the typical Southern Californian sees in a day. There’s also expansive views of West Side of Los Angeles, Century City and the ocean beyond.

Of course and respectable vineyarWine Roomd must have its own wine cellar and tasting room. This one has space for 3,500 bottles. If that’s not enough space, there’s a more utilitarian wine vault downstairs that holds 10,000 more bottles.—source CNN Money.

But don’t expect to get invited over for dinner anytime soon. The villa is rented out most of the time at a cool $475,000 per month. I wonder if that even covers the water bill?

 

 

 

 

Disclaimer:

Drew & Christine Morgan are REALTORS/NOTARY PUBLIC in Belmont, CA. with more than 20 years experience in helping sellers and buyers in their community. They may be reached at (650) 508.1441 or emailed at info@morganhomes.com.

You can find them on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/Morganhomes and also find them on Twitter @ https://twitter.com/morganhomes

The information contained in this article is educational and intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute real estate, tax or legal advice, nor does it substitute for advice specific to your situation. Always consult an appropriate professional familiar with your scenario.