The end of the MLS as we know it

Search_bar_3

Launching the latest and greatest real estate search engine seems to be the new dot com venture. It feels like every time I turn around Inman News is sending me a list of newly launched search engines targeted at the eyes of would-be home shoppers. The latest email alert on August 8th was an article titled, “20 Online Real Estate Sites You Don’t Know About… But Should”.

That’s great I thought. Add that to the 1000+ other real estate search engines and you realize that all this information is a giant step backward—not forward.

Consumers want to be able to do their own legwork—like when I’m looking for a car. I peruse all of the available models on-line, run a compare search, limit it to a few possibilities then go visit the showroom. People looking for a home want the same information and once their interest is piqued, they want to see some homes in person.

One good search engine could do that just fine; one that has all of the available homes for sale in the area they’re searching, offers interactive mapping (with aerial views), and while we’re at it a comparison page, a place to save your viewed properties, and just to add more value a list of homes that recently sold nearby.

Our local Multiple Listing Service offers only a few of these features. It does provide for the most current and accurate information on listings listed by local cooperating brokers. And albeit a small fraction of the inventory, what it lacks is for-sale by owner properties. It also lacks many of the trick features these mashed-up web pages offer like property comparisons and a personal profile to store past searches.

What the MLS’s need to do is step-up to the plate and provide more information to the consumer. No consumer wants to search ten different web pages to get the entire inventory and most consumers don’t need a national database of homes for sale. Typically, buyers have narrowed down their search radius to a few miles and boasting of a national database of homes for sale seems more about bragging rights than valuable information.

Will any of these search engines put Joe real estate agent out of business? They had better hope they don’t. Because what they are offering is essentially a data feed and interface—and without real estate agents actually in-putting data into the MLS—which is in turn fed into the secondary web search market—there would be little inventory to view.

Imagine every seller uploading their own data. First, they’d have to make sure they hit all 1000+ search engines since there would be no centralized database to draw from. Second, who would police this data for accuracy, timeliness and authenticity? What about confidential information—how would that be handled? When a home is vacant should the seller input “we’re going on vacation so show our home anytime” on the internet? What type of lock boxes would a seller use and if so would they put the combination on the internet along with their home phone number for showings?

Don’t get me wrong. I love web sites like Zillow who offer fun interactive tools that make home buying more interesting. Let’s face it they have cool maps and fun algorithms and I enjoy looking at them to see the values they come up with. But they aren’t a substitute for people in the trenches gathering data at street level and reporting back to the Mother ship.

I’d like to see a web site that had all the features the consumer wants—then sell it to the local real estate boards since they can’t seem to think of these ideas on their own.

Belmont’s Housing Activity–Week ending 8.08.08

Belmont Housing Activity                             Δ from prior week

New listings                                        3              ↓

Homes that went pending                   2              ↓

Homes that closed escrow                  1              ↓

Total Inventory                                  45             ↑

Only two homes received an offer last week and went pending, three new listings hit the market, and with only one sale the inventory rose slightly. Most closings are scheduled for the end of the month and there are currently have 15 set to close by then.

NEW LISTINGS

2503 Read Ave., Belmont 2 Bed/ 2 Bath 950 Sq. Ft. for $799,000.

2818 San Ardo Way, Belmont 3 Bed/ 2 Bath 1420 Sq. Ft. home for $725,000 * Our Belmont’s Best Deal pick of the week! OPEN SAT & SUN 8/9th & 10th from 2:00-4:00

San_ardo

807 Ruth Ave., Belmont 2 Beds/ 1 Bath 1,40 Sq. Ft. home for $719,000

SOLD HOMES

3614 Hillcrest 5 beds/3 baths 2840 Sq. Ft. sold for $850,000.

This home was simply entered for a comp. I’m not sure why because it’s a bad one at that. It never hit the market and apparently was a real contractor’s special.

MorganHomes.com

Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

The week ending August 8th of 2008 may have been the luckiest date in this decade but seller’s who wanted to move weren’t quite so fortunate. The Belmont housing activity was rather slow this past week.

Belmont Neighborhood Associations

We’ve updated the list of various Belmont neighborhood associations Download belmont_neighborhood_associations.pdf with an interactive map. Open the PDF file and click on the neighborhood association name in your neighborhood to jump to their web page. The Neighborhood associations below are non-profit organizations which to not mandate membership, but rather request a donation to continue their mission. If you aren’t familiar with your neighborhood association in Belmont, open the attached map and see if they have information on their meetings. We belong to the Belmont Heights Civic Improvement Association and it’s a cause well worth supporting. It’s nice to have a group watching out for your neighborhood.

Real Estate Fees REVEALED!

Be sure and get our Podcast where we discuss how to negotiate the best listing fee with your agent and how our variable rate fee structure works. Download Fees.mp3


This chart illustrates the correlation between the price a seller receives of their asking price and the days their home is on the market. Note that the optimum time to sell a home is in the first 14 days. Listen to our complete Podcast for a detailed explanation on how pricing your home right can net you more for your home and reduce the fees we charge!



Belmont Real Estate–Values are holding steady.

Anyone trying to understand the wild fluctuations in Belmont’s median home price need look no further than this chart.

We’ve tracked the median home price in Belmont over the last year—ever since the mortgage crises. What we were looking for was the impact it would have on home values. We sure were stunned to see a $200,000 median price increase last December, which lead us to go back and track the median size home selling too; this way, we could adjust for larger or smaller homes selling in a particular month.

Now that we’ve plotted the data, it’s easy to see that the dramatic swings in median value correspond directly to the large fluctuations in the size of the homes sold during a particular month.

Belmont only has 20 or so sales a month—sometimes far less—so just a few larger than average homes selling can really skew the true median price.

(click on the graph for a larger view)

Data retreived from the Multiple Listing Service–ProListing of San Mateo County

Belmont’s Month’s Supply of Homes

The month’s supply of homes is a great indicator of whether it’s a seller’s or buyer’s market, and how bullish the market is in general. This barometer is calculated by dividing the number of homes available for sale by the number of sales per month.

We’ve tried to smooth out monthly anomalies by taking a three month moving average. Still, it’s clear that the beginning of the year was eventful. What made it so was not an unusual number of new listings but an abnormally low number of sales. So long as sales keep pace with the inventory of homes this line should be straight.

Anytime the month’s supply of homes is greater than two (months), it tends to indicate a buyer’s market. Note that for Belmont it’s currently at 3.25—clearly into Buyers market territory. To help put this number into perspective, for San Mateo County as a whole this number stands at 5.3 months and the national rate is over 10 months of inventory.

Belmont’s Weekly Housing Update-8.01.2008

Altura 

The Belmont Housing inventory is down to only 40 active single family residences for sale. That’s low for this time of year.

There are currently 24 homes pending sale which has helped drive the number of available homes down—last week added another seven to the list.

These are the six new listings that hit the market last week.

â–º2105 CIPRIANI BL
Detached Single Family (Class

4 bed(s) /3 1/2 bath(s)

5,580 sq ft 

Belmont (Belmont) 

$1,199,000

MLS: 80824979

Nice home. Busy street.

â–º2602 CARLMONT DR
Attached Single Family

Carlmont

These are nice (technically attached) homes in one of Belmont’s premiere canyons. Large lots but sometimes small usable yards.

4 bed(s) /2 1/2 bath(s)

17,380 sq ft 

Belmont (Belmont) 

$1,049,000

MLS: 80824689

â–º905 AVON ST
Detached Single Family

Sorry, there appears to be no uploaded pictures for this home. Hmm.

4 bed(s) /2 1/2 bath(s)

8,580 sq ft 

Belmont (Belmont) 

$999,000

MLS: 80825395

â–º80 EDGEWOOD PL
Attached Single Family

This townhome appears fairly priced for the complex.

3 bed(s) /2 1/2 bath(s)

1,932 sq ft 

Belmont (Belmont) 

$998,000

MLS: 80825408

â–º1907 OAK KNOLL DR
Detached Single Family

Oak_knoll

This was our “Best Deal for Belmont” this week. It’s got a nice feel, nice backyard, and it’s located atop one of Belmont’s best locations with a micro-climate protected southern exposure.

3 bed(s) /2 bath(s)

8,250 sq ft 

Belmont (Belmont) 

$988,000

MLS: 80824402

â–º101 FARALLON DR
Townhouse (Class 2)

3 bed(s) /2 1/2 bath(s)

2,389 sq ft 

Belmont (Belmont) 

$839,000

MLS: 80825321

Last week only five homes closed escrow. That’s very strange in that typically buyers try and close escrow at the end of the month to save on pre-paid mortgage interest. These are the five homes which closed escrow this week:

 

â–º140 VIRGINIA AV
Detached Single Family (Class

3 bed(s) /3 bath(s)

5,850 sq ft 

Belmont (Belmont) 

$1,089,000

MLS: 80810712

It’s nice to have this home off of the books. It was listed for $1,089,000 and finally sold 105 days later for $1,025,000–$64K less.

â–º1505 ALTURA WY
Detached Single Family

Someone got a good deal on this home we believe—even though they had to pay $53,000 OVER asking to do so. It sold for $849,000 in 9 days.

3 bed(s) /2 bath(s)

7,800 sq ft 

Belmont (Belmont) 

$799,000

MLS: 80810640

â–º2424 CORONET BL
Detached Single Family

This home had nice southern peninsula views but was TINY. Still, a good buy for the nice neighborhood. This home closed $30K under the seller’s asking price at $769,000.

2 bed(s) /2 bath(s)

5,700 sq ft 

Belmont (Belmont) 

$769,000

MLS: 80817167

â–º1121 GRANADA ST
Detached Single Family

This starter home on the east side sold for $715,000–$10K under the seller’s asking price and in only 14 days.

3 bed(s) /1 bath(s)

4,968 sq ft 

Belmont (Belmont) 

$725,000

MLS: 80812144

â–º817 COVINGTON RD
Detached Single Family

Talk about good value. To be in the Belmont Hills for under $600,000! That’s a nice price point.

2 bed(s) /2 bath(s)

5,150 sq ft 

Belmont (Belmont) 

$589,900

MLS: 80816502

Best Belmont Home Deals- July 29th 2008

This home, located atop one of Belmont’s mountains, is the best deal of the week for several reasons. Price is obvisoulsy a major factor and this home could easily have been priced at $1,050,000 in our estimation.

It has a great location, a warm micro-climate in the Belmont hills, and a fun floorplan that exudes charm and personality. The rear yard looks great for entertaining and it’s on a huge lot too.

BTW–last week’s best deal already sold in multiple offers.

View All Photos   
OAK KNOLL DR, Belmont 94002 (Belmont)
$988,000 Beds: 3 bed(s) Baths: 2 bath(s)
DOM: 2  CDOM: 2   MLS: 80824402 
Property Overview
Detached Single Family (Class 1)
Bed/Bath: 3 / 2 SqFt: 1,965
Yr Built / Age: 1956 / 52 years Assoc Fee:
Lot: 8,250 sq ft
Pricing/Dates
List Price: $988,000
Sale Price:
Sale Date:
COE Date:
OffMktDate:
WOW!Beautiful Belmont Home w/Mountain Views. 3 Lovely Bdrms,2 Remodeled Bthrms,Master w/Lots of Closet Space,LivRm w/FP & Access to Expansive Deck w/Views,Spacious DinRm,FamilyRm w/Built-In Desk,Updated Kitchen w/Lots of Cabinet Space,Hardwood Floors Thru-Out,Sunroom,Terraced Back Yard w/Mature Landscaping, 2 Car Carport w/ Garage Door and Extra Storage. Property Sold "As-Is". Pls Come See!!!
Listed By Leila Sisneros, RE/MAX Today

Peninsula Home Values in the Bay Area

We’re testing out some fun fusion style charts for our blog page so we thought we’d throw this chart out to show the median price trends in various Peninsula cities as compared to San Mateo county as a whole. When a housing market adjustment happens, the old saying location, location, location (being the three most important things in real estate), takes on a whole new meaning. It’s not just about living in a nice place, it becomes also about living in an area where the prices are more stable.

Podcast–Our Services

MorganHomes.com-Our Services

We’ve launched our first Podcast describing our services and how to learn more about buying and selling real estate on the Peninsula. Our goal is to update this Podcast weekly (time permitting) and bring you fresh content about the Bay Area real estate market, and perhaps more intriguingly, the inside scoop on how to go about buying and selling real estate–the stuff most agents are afraid you might find out.

Be sure and select the "subscribe to this Podcast" link in the lower right hand side bar to automatically receive Podcast feeds. Each Podcast should be under five minutes in length but we’ll try and make them well worth your time.

We hope you enjoy the show! Play it right here or download.

Download Podcast7.28.mp3